Is Trump Using 2016 Tactics To “Fight” Joe Biden?

The “two horse” race between Republican Representative Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden has already entered the sprint stage, in the context of the two-party congress.

After the Republican Congress, the poll results showed that Trump made a breakthrough and narrowed the gap with Biden. In the Aug. 27 poll, Trump dropped 4 percentage points, with 44% saying they would vote for him (42% before Congress), 50% in favor of Biden, up from 52% before. A Hill-HarrisX poll found that support for Trump among registered black voters rose to 24% in the Aug. 22-25 poll compared to 15% in the Aug. 8 poll. 11/8.

According to the Morning consultation, Trump made a spectacular advance, even better after the 2016 Republican congress. At that point, he outscored rival Hillary Clinton 2 points ahead of Congress to lead her 4 points after the event. A key difference in that year’s race was that 16% of voters were still undecided after the Republican congress, compared to 7% in the Aug. 28 poll.

The “tactical” comeback in 2016

Experts say that Trump not only sought to increase his rate of support with measures against Covid-19, but also used tactics that resulted in the elections four years ago. .

In 2016, Trump used the “monopoly” advantage in elections, which is economic policies, and emphasized the goal of doubling economic growth by imposing high tariffs on Chinese goods and trade. draft trade agreements and encourage the transfer of business from abroad to the US, which will bring in jobs for Americans.

This year, Trump also emphasized the positive signals from the unemployment rate and the US stock market to convince voters that he is the most suitable candidate to restore the economy. In the CNN poll, Trump leads Biden 5 points in the economic field, 51% of those polled said that Trump handled this problem better than Biden. The ratio is 45% for Trump and 42% for Biden, according to the Fox News poll.

Exploiting the opposition between right and left, attacking and dividing the Democratic Party, discrediting the opponent are the “cards” that Trump used successfully in the last elections. Now, Trump criticizes the radical and “radical” immigration policy of the Democrats, describing Biden as a “leftist”, “sleepy”, a black defender and critic of anti-China policies. and Mr. Biden’s previous work on civil rights.

In the election campaign, Trump always maintains an optimistic attitude, reveals a unique personality, likes to make a strong impression on others to remember and attract voters. Four years ago, Trump went to war with the news agency, poking fun at the former beauty queen. This year, when the United States struggles to deal with Covid-19, President Trump still says that “Covid-19 is about to disappear,” the US economy revives …

Trump’s victory in 2016 was due in part to his focus on white, middle-class and working-class voters. Currently, he is doing his best to win over popular white voters, and he can rely on this constituency for re-election. Trump also attacked the “realm” of the Democratic Party, hitting the post office, slashing the budget to make it difficult for party voters to reverse the position in states where the two voters were of similar proportions.

Live election campaigns and rallies continue to be used that are believed to be Trump’s effective election strategy. Due to the translation of Covid-19, it is impossible to apply “forte”, Mr. Trump still tries to recreate the atmosphere of voter gatherings by having his supporters meet him at his events, such as networking events with young evangelicals in Phoenix, Arizona, his recent appearances in Florida and Ohio.

One of Trump’s “weapons” is a strong focus on voter concerns, from crime to relations with China to immigration – strategic approaches that have helped Trump. victory of the 2016 elections. That message was repeated once again, when Mr. Trump declared him the “president of law and order”, the president ready to act and always put “America above the end”, he reaffirmed his commitment to treating America fairly, and continued to make the toughest decisions with China.

However, this year’s election is not the same as four years ago, at the time, Trump was an “outsider”, so he only focused on criticizing the results of the Obama / Biden administration. Currently, Mr. Biden is the “rebellion”, and Mr. Trump is the incumbent president, it is no different than having to explain the results of power in the next term.

Waiting for a discussion

On September 29, the first of three US presidential debates will take place. Most voters find these debates very helpful or somewhat helpful in helping them decide who to vote for.

The results of a poll by USA Today and the University of Suffolk showed that many American voters predict that Trump will beat Biden in debates by 47% compared to 41%. In the group of independent voters, there are also many people who think that Trump will beat Biden by 46% and 37%. While 87% of Republican voters believe Trump will win, 79% of Democrats expect Biden to lead the debates.

It is also said that, with a global pandemic, a declining economy and civil unrest, Trump is the incumbent president facing the most challenges at the end of his first term and is on the run. to be re-elected for a second term. But American history shows that the incumbent’s parties often fail to overcome major challenges.

The proof is that in the first elections during the Great Depression (1932), the Democrats took back both the White House and the Senate from the Republicans. In 1968 the election saw civil unrest, the Republican party won in parliament. The year 2020 combines the three challenges mentioned above and there is no certainty about the possibility of Trump’s re-election, although current presidents usually have an advantage when it comes to re-election.

However, with Trump’s “unusual” and unpredictable personality, an unexpected outcome on November 3 is not yet ruled out.

Nguyen nham