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The first general election debate between US President Donald Trump and his rival Joe Biden could become the center of attention.
According to the announced schedule, Trump and Biden will participate in a total of 3 debates live on television before the national vote on 3/11. The US Presidential Disputes Committee said the events will take place in Cleveland, Ohio, on September 29 (US time in Miami, Florida on October 15 and in Nashville, Tennessee on October 22.
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| US President Donald Trump (left) will have a live televised debate with his rival Joe Biden in Cleveland on September 29. Photo: Nikkei |
Public opinion is awaiting the performance of these two politicians in the first match in Cleveland, an event believed to have a major impact on their chances of winning this year’s election.
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Chris Wallace, editor of the Fox News Sunday news program, who led the first debate between Trump and Biden, chose six topics for this party, including the profiles of the two main ones. guests, supreme court, economy, the Covid-19 pandemic, the issue of race and violence in cities, as well as electoral integrity.
Sputnik quoted Eric S. Heberlig, professor of political science at the University of North Carolina, as saying that the event took place in a very special context. First, President Trump is temporarily losing to his opponent in terms of voter support in recent polls, so he must perform well in debates to change the dynamics of the campaign. run for office.
Second, as the current head of government, Trump is expected to face many questions about his achievements, as well as decisions in the position to govern the country, which means that Biden has a chance. to attack and Mr. Trump must be ready to defend and defend.
Third, although Trump has tried to portray Biden as an old man, not smart enough to run the White House, but if the face of the Democrat shows him that all is well, everyone has done it. It can be concluded that he won the debate exceeding expectations, although the performance was not particularly impressive.
According to political analyst Scott Bennett, Trump is likely to “lead the pace and depth of the debate.” Not only is the current White House leader familiar with the scene of the conflict right now, he can turn it to his advantage, Bennett said. On the contrary, Mr. Biden can demonstrate that he is unable to resist conflict or surveillance and is capable of becoming “confused, defensive and hostile during debates.”
“Mr. Trump will try to point out the age and character of Biden, as he did with Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump will also seek to divert the debate from the issue of the pandemic. He is not supposed to be doing well based on the poll results. “said David Schultz, professor of politics at Hamline University.
Professor Schultz believes Trump will seize the opportunity to join the opponent in a wave of violent protests nationwide to demand ethnic justice after the death of African-American citizen George Floyd at the hands of white police. In May. In the Supreme Court, Trump is expected to look for ways to ask more supporters for a decision to elect a conservative judge to replace famed Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Recently.
Schultz said that to beat Trump, Mr. Biden “must first show that he is ready to take responsibility” and “inject more enthusiasm into his boring and mediocre campaign.” . The former vice president is likely to attack Trump on how to respond to the Covid-19 pandemic, the weakening economy, the right to abortion and health care to win support for the election. tri in the states are still hesitating.
The importance of the first game
There was much controversy surrounding the upcoming event, when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced in August that she did not believe there should be any debate between the two presidential candidates. The statement once sparked speculation about Biden’s health situation.
Although Mr. Biden’s campaign team repeatedly stated that the former vice president will accept all debates scheduled by the Presidential Refereeing Committee, he appeared on CBS This Morning on September 25. Recently, Ms. Pelosi was still firmly opposed to such events on the grounds that “Mr. Trump will not tell the truth.”
However, academics such as analyst Bennett have valued that public opinion is always waiting for direct debates between presidential candidates, especially the first party to “close” the face they will choose. vote for the country’s leadership for the next 4 years.
In the same opinion, Professor Schultz said that the first Trump-Biden debate on September 29 could attract a much larger audience than the Clinton-Trump glove four years ago and possibly decide the results of the White House race this year. . Mr. Schultz believes that the American audience will pay attention both to the smallest details of the debate and to the “sobbing” statements or errors of the two candidates.
However, according to some other observers, direct parties only primarily affect independent voters, still hesitant. The reason is that the majority of Republican or Democratic voters so far have decided which candidate to support.
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“Over the past 60 years, debates between presidential candidates have become major political events in the United States elections. The famous Nixon-Kennedy debate of 1960 ushered in the era of television in the background. American politics,” he said Academician Schultz. Such direct debate events often produce memorable statements, images or shows that can influence the final outcome of elections, he emphasized.
To this day, many observers still believe that in the 1960 presidential election, Richard Nixon lost to Democrat John Kennedy, in part because Kennedy performed better in previous parties. TELEVISION. Meanwhile, Mr. Nixon, recently released from the hospital and wearing no makeup when in the photo, looks pale and visibly sweaty while arguing with his opponent, though many think his argument is pretty good.
Similarly, during a direct debate in 1980 between Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan, it was believed that Reagan scored against the current president by asking the American public if they were better than four years ago. , recalling the grim state of the economy right now. And this is seen as a tipping point contributing to Reagan’s election victory that year.
Professor Schultz also mentioned the 1992 event, when President George HW Bush was unable to describe how troubles in the economy affected him personally and then looked at the clock amid the face-to-face debate. before voting with his rival Bill Clinton. According to Schultz, that image paints a picture of a detached White House leader who is no longer attached to the American people.
While it is not possible to show that those moments changed the trajectory of the US presidential election, they are certainly striking images that could partly influence the minds of voters. when they go to vote.
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