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Historians correctly predict all US presidential elections since 1984 and make predictions about the 2020 US elections.
The professor of the American University, Allan Lichtman, shared in “The Story” on the forecast of the American elections of 2020, that allows to choose between the democratic candidate Joe Biden and the president Donald Trump, information of Fox News on October 31.
Historian Allan Lichtman is among the electoral predictors who won Donald Trump’s election in the 2016 White House race.
President Donald Trump even congratulated on a copy of the Washington Post article on historian Allan Lichtman’s prediction.
By sharing how his presidential election was predicted, historian Allan Lichtman emphasized, his completely independent prediction system works on the 13 “keys” that lead to the White House.
These “keys” evaluate the strength and effectiveness that the ruling party in office demonstrated in the last legislature and the current administration is that of Republican President Donald Trump.
Therefore, Allan Lichtman noted, leadership, not campaign, is the deciding factor in how you predict who will be the next president in every American election prediction.
According to the American University historian, if about six of the 13 “keys” in their prediction system were negative for the ruling White House party, that side would be predicted to lose. in the elections of that year.
He also predicted that Donald Trump would be elected president of the United States in 2016 because at that time Democrats had six factors against the possibility of continuing in power.
In the 2020 US elections, Professor Allan Lichtman made his choice between President Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden.
This time, he said, his predictions differ from current President Donald Trump’s. There are seven factors that are not favorable for Trump according to his forecasting system, notes Professor Allan Lichtman.
Therefore, “my prediction is that Donald Trump will be the first sitting president since George HW Bush in 1992 not to be re-elected and that Mr. Joe Biden will become the next president of the United States” – Giao said Allan Lichtman .
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