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In a sign of how important Pennsylvania is to his reelection chances, President Donald Trump ran three campaigns in the state on Monday. Speaking to supporters in Allentown, eastern Pennsylvania, Trump said: “We will win in Pennsylvania, we will win them all.”
After his Democratic rival, Joe Biden, took the lead in opinion polls, some pundits quietly dismissed hopes of Trump’s re-election. Currently, Biden leads the way with an average score of 8.5 according to the Financial Times analysis of the RealClearPolitics survey.
However, Trump still has a “door” to win, as the voting rate in battlefield states is gradually shrinking – for example, in Pennsylvania, Democrats recorded a 5.7% vote. Consequently, a sudden last-minute change on Election Day will help Trump record an unexpected victory like the one in 2016.
Although not entirely, many of the odds of Trump’s victory will lie in Pennsylvania, the state in which Trump has been very actively campaigning in recent months. The state played an important role in Trump’s victory in 2016 and is equally important now, especially when it was ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan: “strengths.” Democrats, help him win against Hillary Clinton.
Additionally, Biden also visits more Pennsylvania than any other state. This underscores the importance of the 20 electoral college votes here. After Florida, Pennsylvania had more electoral votes than any other state on the battlefield. As a result, any candidate who wins here will get the 270 electoral votes necessary for the race to enter the White House.
With two large cities “leaning” toward the Democrats concentrated in conservative rural areas, Pennsylvania made sense for both candidates. Trump will have to convince working-class voters that he got their support four years ago, especially when he appears to be under pressure from the city suburbs. big.
Trump could still be elected without the support of Pennsylvania. However, most of the “gains” need two states, Florida and North Carolina, states he won in 2016 but is currently trailing Biden in polls. What’s more, it also needs to prevail in at least two other swing states, including Nevada and Arizona, which are also lagging behind on the rate of support, or Minnesota, where the Trump campaign is running but not quitting. He has voted for the Republican Party since 1972.
His 2016 victory in Pennsylvania marked the first time the state supported the Republican party since former President George HW Bush in 1998. In the Democratic primaries, Mr. Biden was born. In this state, his working-class background would win him the victory over Trump.
On Monday, Trump tried to refute that argument by portraying his rival as an enemy of the working class. He said: “Joe Biden is a tough globalist who abolished steel mills, closed factories, eliminated his coal jobs, and supported any plausible trade deal for more than half a century.”
In addition, the president has also tried to “rip off” comments made by Biden during the debate last week, when Democrats said he would switch to avoid the fossil fuel industry. “Will you remember this, Pennsylvania? You want to ditch your energy business,” he said.
After his campaign in Pennsylvania, Trump will travel to Arizona and Nevada. These are states that if you win will help you offset the results in Pennsylvania. Bill Stepien, Trump’s campaign manager, said: “The schedule reflects what we believe is the potential path to winning 270 electoral votes.”
Doug Heye, a former aide to the Republican Congress, said it was difficult to assume Trump would win without Pennsylvania and North Carolina, while these places have only voted Democrats once since then. 1976. Heye said, “Mr. Trump needs to speed up because time is running out.”
Speaking in Philadelphia on Monday, Biden said he hopes to win in Pennsylvania and is also confident in his dominance at Michigan and Wiscosin. The former vice president added that it was necessary to rebuild the “green wall” in the Midwest, which subjectively led to Trump’s victory in 2016.
Consult the Financial Times
