Biden shouldn’t erase Trump’s diplomatic legacy



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Saturday, 11/21/2020 09:15 AM (GMT + 7)

Trump’s time as president has left Biden with many legacies and opportunities for him to leverage and develop further in the next term.

As predicted, President-elect Joe Biden’s foreign policy in the next term will likely focus on reversing the diplomatic legacy of his predecessor Donald Trump over the past four years.

Biden shouldn't erase Trump's diplomatic legacy - 1

President Donald Trump during a campaign in Florida in October. Photo: AP

According to US News, the official website for Biden’s campaign often uses phrases like “restoring serious American leadership,” “improving relations with our allies.” I “or” fix the mistakes of the past. “Still, many analysts fear that the above thinking will lead to failed foreign policy or wasted opportunities that Biden might have inherited from Trump.

Revealing Mr. Biden’s new address

Based on the statements of Joe Biden, it is clear that his next plans will take as a starting point the mandate of President Barack Obama, ignoring the Trump era, from which to formulate policies on sensitive issues such as the nuclear problem of Iran and Korea North, or the growing threat from China. The plan will also include firing nearly all Trump-era foreign affairs officials, replacing them with figures Biden deems more appropriate.

Of course, according to expert Michael O’Hanlon of the Brookings Institution (USA), that the inaugural president wants to erase the past legacy is completely normal and has happened in the past. For example, shortly after President George W. Bush took office in 2001, he immediately reversed a number of policies, both domestic and foreign, of his predecessor Bill Clinton. It is important for the president to know which ones to keep that will benefit the country and for his term in office.

What should Biden keep with Trump?

In the short term, US News believes that solving the Iran problem is likely to be one of Biden’s top priorities. He once vowed to return to the 2015 nuclear deal, which was seen as a diplomatic achievement under the Obama administration. The United States under Trump unilaterally withdrew from the nuclear deal and imposed sanctions on Iran. The above move has sparked a strong reaction from America’s allies, who are also parties to the deal.

Chances of Mr. Biden doing better

According to US News, perhaps the last and most important legacy Biden will inherit from his predecessor, Trump during his tenure, has shown the world that the United States can and will be ready. leave any country that does not appreciate its benefits as an ally or partner of it.

“Partners and allies will actively cooperate with the US. And they will also be cautious in testing US patience. Along with that, they are also concerned that the US will be abandoned and thus more reconciled with us.” . This is both a challenge and an opportunity for Mr. Biden to do better ”- evaluated Dr. Jon Alterman from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).

Alterman said the reality is most deeply reflected in Asia, where longtime US allies such as South Korea and Japan are concerned about falling behind and facing an ambitious China alone. “This fear will over time also overshadow Europe and the Middle East, regions where both Russia and China have their own strategies,” Alterman added.

In practice, however, some of the provisions of the aforementioned restrictions on Iran’s development restrictions will expire at the end of this year, while others will gradually expire in 2023 and 2025. Simply going back to the original terms of the agreement, it would be Reckless for the Biden administration because he and his team would lose the opportunity to persuade Tehran to sign the deal. new pros.

Regarding the books on China, Biden may prioritize leveraging a large system of allies and partners to create general pressure on Beijing, which Trump has been unable to do in the last term. However, Biden should also consider expanding Trump’s strategy of a tough and direct confrontation with China.

“Most observers agree that the Biden administration should combine multilateral efforts with unilateral pressures to contain China more effectively, such as tightening the operations of the Huawei Group.” – said analyst Matthew Bey from the risk consulting firm Stratfor (USA).

Bey added that although the trade war between the United States and China has cooled down significantly so far, that does not mean that the two countries are preparing to enter a period of peace because the two sides still have many conflicts of interest. Unresolved strategy. “The United States should continue to maintain tariff measures on Chinese products until Beijing agrees to give up its ambitions to change the order,” said the expert Bey.

On the other hand, many people believe that instability in China’s neighboring North Korea will also cause Biden to have policies close to Trump’s. In the past, Trump has often asserted that thanks to his tough diplomacy and personal relationship with North Korean President Kim Jong-un, two bilateral summits have been smooth.

Whoever wins the US presidential election this year, we will also see more tensions in US-China relations on issues such as economy, politics, geostrategic … in the coming years.

Former US Deputy Acting Commercial Representative WENDY CUTLER

Obama himself admitted to Trump in 2016 when they met in the White House that his policy with North Korea had failed. In other words, if he ends Trump’s initiatives and does what Obama did again, he will not convince Pyongyang, “said expert Michael O’Hanlon.

According to the expert, a more pragmatic approach for the Biden administration would be to resume the talks, relaxing economic sanctions on North Korea on the condition that Pyongyang commit to not producing more weapons. new nuclear gas. “As a talented person, I believe that Mr. Biden will also build a good relationship with Mr. Kim, as Mr. Trump has,” O’Hanlon said.

Source: https://plo.vn/quoc-te/ong-biden-khong-nen-xoa-di-san-ngoai-giao-cua-ong-trump-951258.html

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