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Putin mentioned a military alliance with China for the first time, but this seemed only a “reminder” message for the Biden administration.
On October 22, Russian President Vladimir Putin first mentioned the possibility of forming a Russian-Chinese military alliance in a meeting with domestic and foreign experts. Putin said that while Russia does not need a military alliance with China, “it is perfectly possible in theory,” leaving many wondering about the meaning of the statement.
Dmitri Trenin, director of the Moscow Carnegie Center, said on December 17 that Putin had mentioned a military alliance with China to send a signal to US President-elect Joe Biden that Washington should not increase tensions with Moscow and Beijing. .
“Although it is unlikely that Russia and China will form military alliances, Putin wants to send the message that the United States must understand that it is still possible and that they must be more cautious in their relations with Russia and China. Quoc,” Trenin said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the Valdai Discussion Club on October 22. Image: RIA Novosti.
The chances of the United States improving relations with Russia and China under the next Biden administration are low. The president-elect of the United States has taken a tough stance on the issues President Donald Trump avoids mentioning and “will continue with economic sanctions targeting Russia for multiple reasons.” Washington will ask Moscow to make many concessions in exchange for lifting the sanctions, Trenin said.
According to this expert, despite Putin’s claims, the establishment of a military alliance between Russia and China is unlikely, as Moscow still pursues its main goal of being “an independent actor.”
“If tensions between the United States and China escalate and divide the world into two distinct factions, Russia may have no choice but to join the Chinese-led faction and immediately have to go down to the bottom,” Trenin said. This scenario is completely unfavorable for Russia ”.
If Biden eases tensions between the United States and China, Russia will fall into a difficult situation as cold relations with the United States and Europe continue. However, China will consider this carefully before strengthening relations with a Russia facing Western sanctions. “Russia will have to make difficult decisions on geopolitics and economic policy,” Trenin said.
After resolving a protracted border dispute in the Far East, Russia and China established a strategic partnership. Trenin said that Biden considers the relationship between Russia and China to be “unnatural and uncertain.” “The president-elect of the United States thinks that China doesn’t appreciate Russia and only uses it for its own benefits,” Trenin said.
The expert predicts that if relations between the United States, China, the United States and Russia continue to deteriorate, an arms race in Asia could erupt and involve missiles. “The United States wants to maintain its military superiority over Russia and China. The United States will only stop developing short and medium-range missiles for use in this area only if China makes concessions on certain issues,” Trenin said.
Nguyen tien (According to the Nikkei)
