Analyze the possibility of entering the round of 16 of the C1 2020 Cup of MU vs PSG

Before the fifth match of the Group H 2020/21 Champions League, everyone knows that MU only needs to score 1 point to officially appear in the 1/8 round. Of course, Solskjaer’s teachers and coaches wanted to complete that goal because they were playing at home and their rival PSG was defeated by them in the first hole (2-1).

But in the end, the home field became a constant obsession with MU again this season and Old Trafford had to change its name to “Theater of Nightmares”. At the end of 90 minutes, the “Red Devils” had to lose 1-3. PSG claimed the original even “big winnings” because in the first turn they only lost 1-2. The reason for saying this is because it is hypothesized that if the two teams even points at the end of the group stage, MU will definitely be behind PSG in losing the head-to-head index.

However, with MU at the moment, getting through the group stage is already very good, but I don’t dare to dream of being at PSG (which means it will be up). Currently, after 5/6 matches in Group H, MU has 9 points equal to PSG and Leipzig (they beat Basaksehir 4-3 in the fifth round). The Manchester team is still temporarily in the lead because it is more about the confrontation rate between the three teams, but PSG is the team with the best chances to continue.

The reason is that in the last match of Group H Champions League 2020/21, Neymar and his teammates have just played at home and only have to face Basaksehir, too weak, and all the goals (definitely at the bottom of the table) . While MU will have to march to the courtyard of Leipzig to play the game of “life or death”.

Just a draw is enough to help PSG win the right to the 1/8 round without worrying about the outcome of the remaining match. At that point, PSG will have 10 points, definitely ahead of Leipzig or MU in terms of scoring in case the match between these two opponents win, lose.

In case the Leipzig vs MU match ends with a draw, the 3 teams will own 10 points and the final ranking will not be different from the current one (MU is No. 1, PSG No. 2 and Leipzig is still No. 3 ). Analyzing more closely, MU has 7 points “face to face” (win 2, draw 1 and lose 1), PSG has 6 points of confrontation (win 2, lose 2) while the scoreboard “faces between 3 teams.” 4 from Leipzig (won 1, drew 1, lost 2).

Even after losing to Basaksehir, PSG can still make it through the group stage if in the match at the same time, MU lost to Leipzig. At this point, Leipzig will have 12 points and will take the lead. PSG has 9 points as MU, but is up by a more direct showdown (losing 1-2 at home but winning 3-1 away). Obviously, the PSG next door is too bright.

Now consider Manchester United. As mentioned, MU still only needs a draw to officially pass the group stage. At that time, it will win the top of Group H if at the same time PSG cannot beat Basaksehir for having the best match-up index (between 3 teams or with Leipzig). Need to remember the first inning, MU used to crush Leizpig to 5-0 at Old Trafford’s home field (Rashford set up a hat-trick)

If MU beats Leipzig, of course, there is nothing happier with the Manucians because the beloved team will present themselves convincingly in the eighth round, avoiding the sound of “luck”. But the top spot will not belong to them if at the same time PSG beat Basaksehir because MU lost to PSG in the match.

In the worst case (MU failed against Leipzig), Solskjaer’s teachers and students definitely owe “goodbye” to the Champions League yard and feel sorry for the Europa League to meet the “Premier League brothers” ( Arsenal, Tottenham against Leicester). But a team that not even the goal of scoring 1 more point in 2 games cannot be completed is not worthy of being in the group of the 16 strongest teams in the Champions League this season.