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Trump may wage a legal battle or rely on electoral votes to change the outcome of the election, but the chances are slim.
Post-presidential reconciliation attempts, in which the loser contacted the chosen person willingly, has a tradition dating back to 1896, when William Jennings Bryan sent William McKinley a message of wishes. beautiful.
In 2016, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton also called her rival Donald Trump to congratulate him on his election and expressed her support, to the incident that Clinton said the US president “was extremely surprised.”
However, after the media named Joe Biden the 46th president-elect of the United States on November 7, Trump’s already noisy Twitter account made no move to suggest that he would follow a more established tradition. a century. Instead, the president of the United States refused to admit defeat and did not consider Biden’s victory legitimate.
“If I count the valid votes, I win easily. But if we count the fraudulent votes, they can try to steal the election from us,” Trump said at a press conference after concluding. Final results are announced. Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s private attorney, said he would file 10 voter fraud lawsuits and said the president should not admit to losing at this time.
US President Donald Trump speaks at a press conference at the White House on November 5. Image: AFP.
The 20th Amendment to the United States Constitution states that “the terms of the president and vice president will end at noon on January 20, after which the terms of their successors will begin.” In accordance with this process, Biden will be sworn in at the time established in the Constitution, while Trump will stand on the podium behind Biden to demonstrate a peaceful transfer of power.
If Trump is determined to stay in the White House after Biden takes office, as the new president, Biden “has the power to direct the Secret Service to remove Trump from the White House just like the trespassers, “said Barbara McQuade, a former Michigan prosecutor.
The Biden campaign alluded to this possibility on the morning of November 6, when spokesman Andrew Bates said that “the United States government can completely remove intruders from the White House.”
It is worth noting that the US military, which is separate from the Secret Service, has no intention of participating in the electoral process. “In the event of a conflict over some aspect of the election, as required by law, the courts and Congress are responsible for resolving the disputes, not the US military,” said the Council President. US Joint Chief of Staff Mark Milley spoke in August.
However, perhaps no one has the authority to remove Trump from the White House if Election results remain in question in protracted legal battle to determine the winner. Then the United States will fall into an unpredictable situation.
Trump has filed several lawsuits in the battlefield states, targeting the highlights of this year’s election. That is a record number of more than 65 million mail-in votes from a large number of people concerned about the Covid-19 situation in the US, the world’s largest epidemic region.
Under Biden’s call, Democrats tend to vote by mail, so the majority of votes on this form vote for him. Meanwhile, Trump supporters often do not believe in voting by mail and prefer to vote in person.
Therefore, the results of the vote count were expected to be initially in favor of Trump, when direct votes were first counted, but this trend will change as absentee votes are counted. This phenomenon is called “virtual red wave”.
Trump relied on this detail to make widespread accusations of fraud and that “the election was stolen.” So far, the federal courts are not on Trump’s side, but experts say only a ruling in favor of the chief justice of the state superior court can lead to a legal battle and took the case to the US Supreme Court, where there are 6 Of the 9 judges nominated by the president of the Republican Party, only Trump has nominated 3 people.
This was the case in 2000. At the time, the race to enter the White House between Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Al Gore was determined by a single state, Florida. After Florida declared that Bush won by 537 votes, Gore doubted that number and the Florida Supreme Court agreed to recount.
However, the United States Supreme Court intervened on 12/12/2000 for the first time in a presidential election, when it ordered Florida to stop counting votes on the grounds that the pressurized counties had violated the constitution. using different counting criteria.
This somewhat ambiguous ruling closed the door to victory for Gore, but he decided to admit defeat, saying he did not want the country to continue divided and with partisan battles.
For these cases to succeed in state court and reach the Supreme Court, Trump is expected to provide conclusive evidence of fraudulent votes in specific constituencies.
Another option for Trump to turn things around is to trust the electoral college. For most states, the candidate who wins the popular vote wins all electoral votes for that state. As a general rule, the state parliament is the place to make a list of voters that has been submitted by the winning candidate. This list will be signed and stamped by the state governor for submission to the United States Senate for certification.
However, in the Biden states that won the popular vote, Trump was able to rely on parliament and the governor to support him to create an entirely different voters list. In states where Republicans control parliament and the governor is a Democrat, they can run two voter rolls in parallel.
The Role of Voters in US Elections. Video: next.
When the electoral college meets on December 14, states with two electoral lists will cast twice the number of votes required, forcing Vice President Mike Pence, who holds the presidency of the United States Senate, to decide. What to do with these extra votes.
If Pence decides to eliminate the extra-electoral votes, without any candidate obtaining the necessary 270 electoral votes, deciding who to elect the president of the United States belongs to the House of Representatives, which holds an extraordinary voting session. In voting, the congress of each state received only one vote.
With this rule, Republicans will have more votes than Democrats and Trump is likely to be elected president. Democrats control the House of Representatives, but only 23 delegations represent 23 states, while Republicans have 27 congressmen.
According to Atlantic, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, could stop this scenario by preventing members of the House from entering parliament to witness electoral votes led by Pence. The United States Constitution stipulates that the electoral vote counting process is effective only in the presence of members of the House of Representatives.
With this tactic, Pelosi can delay the confirmation of the new president indefinitely, even beyond the January 20 deadline specified in the Constitution. In that case, you can declare yourself acting as Acting President of the United States.
In all situations, Trump’s chances depend on how Republican officials react to his strategy. Some of the more alarming scenarios described include Trump’s attempt to deploy the National Guard, which may not be supported by Republicans. Many Republicans also appear to be avoiding getting involved in Trump’s defiance of the election results.
According to columnist Alex Ward VoxGiven the prospect of undesirable constitutional crises, Trump will likely end up losing, despite legal declarations of war. However, his movements so far point to unforeseen developments.
Gloss (According to the QZ, Vox)
