2020 US Elections: When Will We Know Who Won The Election?

You may have had a reasonable expectation of the outcome of the US presidential election at this point.

So far, we still don’t know for sure because neither President Donald Trump nor former Vice President Joe Biden have enough votes in the electoral college to announce victory.

We are entering the second day of scrutiny. A large number of votes were removed by mail during the elections because the pandemic and different state laws on how the count was counted led to more time consuming if the results were narrow.

And indeed, the chase is very close.

Yes, until now, but that doesn’t decide who will become president.

Instead, the presidential candidate must win the majority of the votes of the electoral college, where each state receives a certain number of electoral votes or corresponding to the population of each state. If a state wins, it gets all the votes from that state’s electoral college (except Nebraska and Maine under a rather complicated system).

There are 538 votes in state polling stations and a winner of 270 wins the race.

This depends in part on how each state counted the ballots and the order in which the different types of ballots were counted (eg, postal ballots). Let’s analyze what is happening in some battlefields:

Nevada (6 I’ll pay): Biden had a very close advantage. The state government has posted a FAQ, which says that the vote count is happening at the expected rate, in accordance with the schedule established by Nevada law. Postal ballots have yet to be counted in the results and the information will be updated tomorrow morning, with the unofficial results here.

Georgia (16 I’ll pay): Trump is in close proximity to Biden in Georgia, where the secretary of state has said the count will be completed by noon Thursday.

Pennsylvania (20 I’ll pay): In Pennsylvania, there are more than 580,000 mail-in ballots left to count, that’s because state law requires that mail-in ballots not be counted before Election Day. Trump is still ahead of Biden, but since mail-in ballots tend to belong to Democrats, analysts say anything is possible.

Wisconsin (10) Y Michigan (16): The BBC predicts that Biden will win in Michigan and the US media predict that he will win even in Wisconsin, where he leads with almost 1% of the vote.

Vote counting continues in five major states, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, where the winner has yet to be determined.

Just a victory in Pennsylvania or two of the four remaining states would be enough to confirm that Biden would be elected president. Trump needs to win Pennsylvania and three of the four remaining states.

This is the roadmap that Trump or Biden can take as president of the United States.

Unlike other countries, there is no electoral agency or commission that oversees elections in the United States. Each state has its own laws and counting system.

If Biden got Nevada, Arizona and Wisconsin and added Michigan, he would get 270 votes. Trump will need the Pennsylvania electoral college ballot and will win three states: Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada or Arizona. But Trump filed legal challenges and other litigation such as:

It appears that the results of this week’s poll do not give us the complete picture of the American public. The observer had not predicted that the race would be so close.

Robert Cuffe, the BBC’s head of statistics, says it is too early to say whether this election is a nightmare for pollinators. The latest national polls showed Biden was about eight points ahead of Trump. In the battlefield states, Biden was also in the lead, but by a much closer distance.

Some experts are skeptical that some of the American public will not even participate in the polls because they do not trust these organizations, and they are more likely to vote for Trump.

Voter preference issues in the election of the president can also be slightly misjudged. While the corona virus pandemic dominated the headlines, an Edison Research poll found that more voters (a third of the total) listed the economy as important to them, and this is Trump’s central message.

The vote for Trump also seems a bit more diverse than many people think.

Donald Trump is doing better than expected and Joe Biden hasn’t won the battle states that quickly finished counting votes, meaning there will be more volatility while we wait for some key states. .