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United States President Donald Trump during his visit to Vietnam on December 27, 2019.
Communist Party of Vietnam newspaper, the old party people continue to praise themselves “The will of the Party, the heart of the People”, to show that the people have confidence in the Party and that the Party people always follow the wishes of the Party. town.
But in fact, has it been?
The situation of trials and injustices is getting worse, but the press and state agencies cannot deny it. Corruption from very high levels down to the village has become a state accident; the party has to call it “internal invasion”. The sovereignty of the sea and islands, people cannot help but doubt when aggressive anti-Chinese protests are suppressed in different ways.
The Party refused to enact the Law of Protests, the Law of Association, so that state associations could continue to live off the people’s tax dollars, the state media had to put on some more “gold rings”, how could listen to the game? understanding, to truly “people’s hearts”?
However, there seems to be one thing the Party and the People can unite with: the Trump phenomenon.
Sovereignty
For about 15 years, with Vietnam, the South China Sea problem has always been boiled by aggression and aggression from China. The boring chorus of “speeches” from Vietnam, the international response, the US threats to China, doesn’t seem to be working at all.
So in Vietnam, people’s hearts are always restless; suspicions about the party’s or state’s commitment to China. Demonstrations, social networks, petitions, research projects … year after year, they erupted and then died down or gradually fell silent. Deadlock on both sides!
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American – Vietnamese businessmen signed a cooperation agreement in the presence of American and Vietnamese leaders in Hanoi during President Trump’s visit on December 27, 2019.
The Trump administration has taken a radically different approach to the problem many presidents ago. At the same time, many continuous measures related to foreign affairs, support contributions are unprecedented; shocking to the point that all over the world, from allies to enemies, opponents inside and out jumped. From the elite class of society (left, left), including “high-ranking” intellectuals, seasoned media, including “high-level” politicians and tycoons (who hold many interests with China) like to be humiliated as idiots but hypocrites; stop being just an opponent, disagree as an enemy of the Trump administration.
In less than four years, the volume and quality of American moves and decisions, not only in the South China Sea, but also in many other related fields, “battlefields”, including more Mekong offers are exceptionally large . With Taiwan closer and clearer.
The Vietnamese government has clearly been taking this approach with enthusiasm, but with discretion and care. From two trips by President Trump, including historic negotiations with the President of North Korea, to a series of visits by numerous American warships, aircraft carriers, … and the most recent visit. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s surprise is among the many evidence.
It is not difficult to see a new trend in dealing with China.
The Communist Party of Vietnam, with its ideological ties to China that cannot be eliminated in the short term, is forced to quietly “dilute” the “red” more quickly through the search for solutions to internationalize the problem. East Sea.
The COVID -19 pandemic turned out to be another risky possibility. The brutal exchanges between the two parties and the unions of the two countries no longer exist. There have also been no back and forth visits prior to the XIII Party Congress.
Outlining the ‘evil neighbor’
On the part of the people, it seems that there are suggestions. Without demos, seminars have other things to make up for. The state media are more comfortable with news that describes the bad (the Communist Party) of China, from the East Sea to Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang …
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Vietnam has been a booming economy in Southeast Asia for many years.
The VTV phenomenon released a documentary a few months ago, starring many party leaders, severely condemning the rebellious and barbaric actions of the Chinese army in the invasion of the Side Border. 1979 is an example in the north of our country. And social networks, a new environment for netizens to “protest”, help each other to know, detect and expose false signals related to territorial sovereignty and nurture the national spirit. flourishing.
From both sides, they seek a common direction, they can temporarily accept, gradually reduce conflicts and constant questions.
Where are the human rights?
Throughout the quarter century, human rights issues in Vietnam have always been concerned with and influenced by the United States, through all generations of presidents, in many ways.
However, arrests, trials, prison sentences and then objections, or intervention to guarantee the departure of the activists, especially when there is an upcoming high-level visit to the two parties, or dialogues. the spring-autumn human rights of the two countries, … boring and repetitive. Political cases continue to rise and prison sentences are more severe.
The measures of the United States and the West can be felt gradually, over decades, in the hope of turning the tide of the democratization of the communist governments of China and Vietnam after these two countries. reform, the opening seems heavy in appearance, ineffective, even demagogic. Behind it there is also a great influence of economic interests.
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The author mentioned the relationship between US-Vietnam relations and other topics of interest, including human rights.
For the United States, a difficult problem in terms of geopolitics: Vietnam is too important on the international chessboard for China to be problem number one.
Three sides: the government, the people of Vietnam and the United States need to find another course to change this situation.
In doing so, I see that we must consider root causes.
The question of the sovereignty of the sea and the islands is one of the reasons. If the US side, its allies, and countries agree to continue the new approach (as mentioned above), it will gradually reduce internal conflicts in Vietnam.
Within the party, the state of Vietnam, with a harsh or peaceful vision, if skillfully influenced by the United States, the West will adjust its internal balance of power.
Specifically, with the forces that want to be close to China, they are often willing to crack down with expressions of struggle for the islands and human rights. The recent strong approach to the South China Sea by the United States leaves them vulnerable.
On the other hand, it is necessary to be alert to internal confrontations, tackles or the “march of martial majesty” from within, increasing the arrests of combatants (especially when there is an upcoming political event); challenges the United States, the West, if misjudged, the “hot-eyed” public can react strongly and immediately, hampering the long-term cooperation strategy against China.
Another irony is that they are still powerful, although they do not like communist China, they are full of corruption; They also want to reform the institutions, but they are determined to reinforce the democratic freedom of the people to protect their enormous wealth.
In contrast, with the pure authorities who want to “escape from China”, of course, there is nothing to please Beijing with acts of repression of the democratic voice. They have found support in the effectiveness of the new solution in recent years from the Trump administration to China.
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The maritime and island disputes in the South China Sea and the triangular relationship between the United States, Vietnam and China are also an aspect mentioned by the author.
It is not easy to distinguish between a unique phenomenon and its deep nature, to find an intelligent solution to deal with all the mentioned forces.
Therefore, by making strong and persistent policy adjustments with China in the South China Sea and the like, you will profoundly contribute to changing the human rights situation in Vietnam in a positive direction; not only hoping to continue “scripting” the measures of direct pressure on human rights as many years ago.
Economics and ideology
In addition, it is impossible not to mention the economic factors, which help to change from the root of human rights problems …
Warning of “currency manipulation”, making “backyard” for disguised Chinese products to enter the United States, condemning “the worst exploiters”, … for example, is an example of the strategy of gradually separating the regime. of the “golden friend” of ideology, economic dependence.
That will affect human rights issues and the South China Sea.
On the domestic side, once the economic pressure from the United States spread to Vietnam stronger, forcing this regime to soon drop the damaging tail of the “socialist orientation” of the “market economy” (studying China). ), will help to reshape many fields: rule of law, culture, science, environment, …, not only the economy; the strength of progressive democracy will have a more important voice and will be more trustworthy to the people; gradually reducing corruption and social injustice.
Perspectives
After the US presidential elections, if Mr. Trump is re-elected, the decisions made with China on the economy, the East Sea and Taiwan … in recent years, with more time to comply, will be more effective. Since then, there is little hope for Vietnam, after the Party Congress, the story of the “Party Italy, the heart of the people” will be less funny, which is just to talk on the sidewalk, but more realistic in the direction of improving democracy . Rule of law, to help China unanimously resist.
And if Mr. Joe Biden is elected, no matter how hard he tries, the path through the Democratic Party (the Donkey icon) will remain the same, even with a slight adjustment, trying to find his way. that predecessor Donald Trump (Republican – Elephant) explored in relations with China.
Suddenly I remembered a Vietnamese proverb, but it was inconvenient to say it, I had to copy it: there is no … The elephant catches Trick … carrying heavy loads. And we can only be happy that this world has realized that the way of the Elephant has been opened. That’s it!
The article expresses the style and opinions of the author, a former tThe security filmmakers used to work in the Vietnamese police and are now freelance journalists living in Hanoi.
