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There is a question that has always been on the minds of many people these days: What will happen on the night of the US presidential election?
Generally, the winner of the race to enter the White House can be determined on Election Day. But this year, due to the influence of the Covid-19 translation, the demand for vote-by-mail has increased dramatically. Along with that, the states did not agree on the deadline for counting the absentee ballots, so it would take several days or weeks to get the final results.
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| The 2020 presidential election results may not be determined immediately on November 3. Photo: BBC |
The Mr. Trump Advantage
According to Buzzfeed News, if the outcome of this year’s election is that close, then President Donald Trump will get the upper hand first, regardless of the end result.
This is explained by the large number of direct votes from Republican voters, who have a faster counting rate. Hawkfish, a political data research firm founded by billionaire Michael Bloomberg, calls this a “red illusion,” a phenomenon many feel that Trump appears to be winning big on Election Day.
Once absentee ballots have been fully counted, former Vice President Joe Biden is likely to become a “turning the wheel” factor. Buzzfeed News said that some battlefield states like Arizona, Florida and North Carolina allow mail-in ballots to be processed before Election Day. This can produce clear and relatively complete results as early as November 3.
Many other key states, such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, do not have regulations for absentee ballot processing prior to Election Day. Additionally, since these states are unprecedented in having to process a large number of mail-in ballots, the final election results risk being delayed by several days.
Even in states with a history of voting by mail, it can take a long time to decide the outcome of the election, due to the record number of votes these states will have to vote. handle this batch.
Look florida
Still, one state still worth watching on Election Day is Florida.
According to Drew McCoy, President of Decision Desk HQ, Joe Biden will have a great chance of winning the election if Florida wins. If Trump wins in Florida, his way back to the White House will be wide open, even if the remaining states are slow to report the full results of the vote.
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| President Trump can seize early thanks to the large number of direct voters. Photo: AP |
History has shown that many times the results of elections in Florida take a long time to officially finalize, because the race between candidates here is usually quite close. In fact, however, the state began the vote-counting process earlier than the battlefield states in the Midwest.
Drew McCoy said that if Biden wins in other early counting states, like Arizona or North Carolina, at least the outcome of the race can still be determined who he leans on, even if not physically. the ultimate winner was determined on election night, and those states weren’t as decisive as Florida.
However, if the Democratic nominee wins in Texas on November 3, the race is considered scheduled.
The Chairman of Decision Desk HQ also pointed out that while there may be sudden changes in the leader in some states during vote counting, this is something that happens regularly in every election in the US.
Learn to be patient
What’s different this year is that the vote count could stretch for days, or even weeks, so changes in leadership positions could become more dramatic. Additionally, vote counting, the number of people queuing to vote in person, and a host of other issues can further delay the release of final election results.
Many news agencies, including BuzzFeed News, have been preparing for these situations for months and are taking more conservative approaches to the results of this year’s US presidential elections. .
These news agencies know that mass postal voting means that it takes time to determine the winner in each state. Therefore, it is not necessary to invite groups of experts to analyze the election results on television on November 3.
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| But Mr. Joe Biden has the ability to “go against the grain” thanks to the number of absent and mailed ballots. Photo: New York Times |
There is also the possibility that both Trump and Biden will be declared victories on election night. This will create a scene unprecedented in history.
BuzzFeed News said the most important and also the hardest thing for people to do is learn to be patient. Even when American voters have identified their candidate to vote on November 3, it will be some time before the identity of the future head of the White House is actually revealed.
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