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Yet this is perhaps the most troubling thing for Trump: Apparently, the president did not perform as well as he did in 2016. At this point, four years ago, Trump quickly narrowed the gap with Hillary. Clinton, but little progress will be made in 2020.
Currently, Biden leads Trump by 9-10 points in public opinion polls across the country. It is important to note that the rate of support for the Democratic candidate is above 50%. Meanwhile, in 2016, after the scandal of using personal email when she was secretary of state, Hillary Clinton narrowed the gap with Trump to just 4 points in public opinion polls when she only had. 9 days is Election Day.
21 days ago, this difference was 7 points. Additionally, Mrs. Clinton’s rating at 45% is not considered too high, giving Trump more opportunities to close the gap in the final weeks of the campaign when voters don’t like both. tablets.
An ABC News / Ipsos poll conducted after the last presidential debate between Biden and Trump announced on October 25 shows the difference between the support rate and the president’s opposition rate at a very low level, minus 22 points. This difference from Mr. Biden is 1 point.
In the last month and nine days before the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton’s opposition was consistently higher than her vote.
If she wants to win in 2016, Hillary Clinton must win the support of voters who don’t like her or Trump. The 2016 elections ended when Hillary Clinton lost 18% of the electoral votes, who had negative opinions about her and Trump by a difference of 17 points.
Currently, Mr. Biden does not need to make any such request. All you need is to continue to maintain the support of your favorite voters. The most recent CNN / SSRS poll showed that Biden outperformed Trump by 93% compared to 6% in the group of voters with positive opinions about the former US vice president.
The three statewide CBS News / YouGov polls released Oct. 25 found little progress in supportive ratings for Trump. In Florida, 50% of the voters surveyed support Biden, while the rate for Trump is 48%. Last month, those figures were 48% and 46%, respectively. In Georgia, the support of Biden and Trump is equal, both 49%. Last month, Trump was 1 point ahead of Biden with ratings of 47% compared to 46%. Meanwhile, the North Carolina poll showed Biden received 51% support and this figure for Trump is 47%. Last month, Biden was 2 points ahead of Trump at 48% versus 46% respectively.
While all of these gaps are wrong, they all show a consistent overall trend: Mr. Biden is 2 to 3 points ahead in Florida and North Carolina, while the race is getting fiercer in Georgia.
Remember, Trump needs to win all of these states to win, while Biden only needs to win at least 1 state.
In fact, state polls showed Trump was unable to achieve the dramatic progress he made in 2016. At that time, according to political analyst Bill Scher, the All state polls showed that support for Trump increased in the final weeks of the election. , although people no longer seemed to trust the polls.
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