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According to LeoLabs, these two objects are most likely only 12 meters apart before midnight, resulting in a collision probability of around 10%. In particular, a distance of 12 m is not described as different from an orbiting “pinhole”, that is, extremely narrow.
Fox News radio quoted experts as saying that the confrontation could occur at 11:56 p.m. on October 15, at an altitude of perhaps more than 900 km. The total weight of both is 3 cubic tons.
Since the point of impact (if any) is far from the ground, they pose no danger to those below, but could pose a threat to future astronauts.
“If a collision were to occur, this event could have created thousands to tens of thousands of space debris… The potential danger from such explosions could be far greater than humans could imagine. “according to Mr. Dan Ceperley, general manager of LeoLabs.
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