President Trump infected with Covid-19: What scenario in the White House? | World

Since May, Bloomberg has been analyzing President Trump’s infection with Covid-19 and this scenario finally happened.

Process available

Both experts and officials and former officials of the United States administration say that the extent of the economic and geopolitical impact will depend on Trump’s medical condition and especially if Trump is still capable. White House leadership at a time of infection or not.

Mr. David Axelord, who was a senior adviser to former President Barack Obama, said there is a process to deal with every scenario that occurs in the White House. “We often practice preparing for situations like terrorism or nuclear attacks. But I never really predicted a situation like this disease, “he said.

In American history, President George W. Bush (Bush’s son) has used this process twice during his tenure when receiving medical treatment. President Ronald Reagan also once authorized someone else to run when he was hospitalized for his shooting.

Worst scenario

The United States has also seen the worst-case scenario in which both the president and vice president lose the ability to govern the country. The next successor will be the Speaker of the House of Representatives. This order is specified in the Presidential Succession Act of 1947.

“In this case, the order of succession to the presidency is very clear,” said George Mason, Ilya Somin law professor. The Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, will assume the presidency.

However, if this worst-case scenario occurs, the possibility of volatility and chaos is entirely possible. Because, the constitution does not specify the process of evaluation of the capacity to operate. This is prone to disputes during the temporary transfer of power.

Chaos will ensue if Pelosi thinks the president and vice president lose the ability to run and declare themselves successors, while Trump and Pence insist they are still capable of leading the country. Please note that Ms. Pelosi is a Democrat.

Experts fear that the worst case scenario will be a full-blown constitutional collapse. At this point, the court will make a decision.

Still, the White House says there is no reason to panic. A White House spokesperson said the federal government always has a plan to keep the apparatus running. However, he declined to reveal what the concrete plans would be in May if both Trump and Pence cannot continue to lead.