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Dr. Michael Osterholm (Image: Star Tribune)
Dr. Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, said the original Covid-19 outbreak was in cities like New York, where one in five people has a. Infected people are only a small part of the disease and the number of deaths will continue to increase.
“This virus will continue to grow until it infects as many people as possible. The virus will not grow slowly until 60-70% of the population is infected, this number will create community immunity and stop the spread of the virus, “said Osterholm experts.
Although the number of new infections begins to decline in the summer, this could be an indication that Covid-19 will become a seasonal, flu-like epidemic.
During the 1918 flu pandemic that infected a third of the world’s population, New York and Chicago were the two cities most affected by the first wave of outbreaks, while other cities in the United States such as Boston. Detroit, Minneapolis and Philadelphia were not affected. However, the second wave of outbreaks had more severe effects across the United States.
If the Covid-19 epidemic clears up in the summer before a resurgence in the fall, the number of infections may peak and overcrowded hospitals will have to deal with infections with the flu and crown viruses.
According to Osterholm, Asian countries like South Korea and Singapore, which have been praised for their stringent epidemic control measures and rapid tests, can avoid damage during the first wave of outbreaks, but can be vulnerable in the second wave of outbreaks.
The Covid-19 epidemic and the common pandemic have some important differences. According to the Infectious Disease Policy and Research Center, the average incubation period for Covid-19 is 5 days, while the normal flu is 2 days. Longer incubation times and higher infection rates indicate that Covid-19 is more contagious than conventional influenza.
There is more recognition of EE. USA 80,000 deaths and more 1.3 million cases of Covid-19. New York is the most affected state with more than 26,000 people dead. Initial antibody tests showed that approximately 20% of people in New York City were infected.
Worldwide, Covid-19 caused at least 286,000 deaths and more than 4.1 million infections.
Osterholm said that only an effective vaccine could delay the spread of the virus, before a large enough portion of the population became infected enough to create immunity. Osterholm also said that even if the vaccine works effectively, it is not yet known how long it will help protect people against the new strain of the coronavirus.
Most states in the US USA They have begun to relax the need to force people to stay indoors. However, the implementation method varies from state to state. While Georgia began opening in late April, allowing tattoo, hair, and nail salons to reopen, California took a slower, more gradual approach, allowing retailers and manufacturers to consider resuming operation.
State governors feared the economic damage caused by social reform measures, leading to the closure of businesses and the increase in the US unemployment rate. The unemployment rate in the United States has reached almost 15% and an economic adviser in the Trump administration even predicts that this figure could reach 20%.
Osterholm acknowledged that the United States “cannot block for up to 18 months,” so political leaders and business leaders must find ways to resume activities, while adapting to a virus without soon disappearing.
“We all have to face the fact that no magic bullet, unless there is a vaccine, can make the disease go away. We will have to live with that and it does not need to be discussed further, ”said Mr Osterholm.
Thanh Dat
According to USA Nowadays
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