US economy to recover twice as fast as expected, report says: live updates

Vaccination continues on Monday at Art., Little Rock.  The rapid rollout of the coronavirus vaccine will help the United States economy grow 6.5 percent this year.
Deposit …Rory Doll for the New York Times

The U.S. economy is expected to grow almost twice as fast as expected this year, as President Biden’s $ 1.9 trillion stimulus plan, coupled with a quick vaccine rollout, unveiled a powerful recovery from the epidemic, it said Tuesday.

But countries that are stumbling in the pace of their vaccination campaigns, especially those in Europe, risk falling behind in global recovery, as failure to defeat the spread of the virus forces governments to shut down their economies, and delays the opportunity. People return to normal life, the organization said.

In its half-year outlook, the organization said the United States would expand .5.5 percent this year, faster than its December forecast of 2.7 percent. Growth in the world’s largest economy will generate enough momentum to help boost global output by 6.6 per cent, with a contraction of 4.4 per cent in 2020.

Compared to other countries, China, which contains the virus, is becoming the global winner with a forecast of 7.8 percent.

However, as global recovery gains are noticeable, spending by governments aimed at boosting the economy will have a limited impact, unless officials accelerate national vaccine rollouts and provide relief in virus control measures. If vaccination programs are not fast enough to reduce the rate of infection, or if new types become more widespread and vaccines need to be modified, consumer costs and business confidence are hit.

OECD chief economist Lure Rance Boone told a news online news briefing that the stimulus would not be as effective without vaccinations because consumers do not go out of their way to do normal things. “It’s a combination of health and monetary policy importance.”

Especially for Europe, and especially for Germany and France, where, despite billions of government support, a combination of poor public health management and slow vaccination programs weighs on recovery. “This type of cost will not be fully effective until the economy reopens,” Mr. Boone said.

The eurozone economy is expected to grow 9.9 percent this year, slightly higher than the December forecast but slower than the United States. In Britain, where the national vaccination process began late last year, the economy is expected to grow at 1.1 per cent, up from the forecast of 5.7 per cent.

India’s economy is expected to grow by 12.6 per cent in 2020 after a 7.4 per cent decline, the organization added.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at the Oval Office Fees in January.  On Monday, she said she did not believe President Biden's stimulus package would cause inflation to rise.
Deposit …Anna Money for the New York Times

Shares rose around the world on Tuesday as bond yields bounced back from recent highs. In tech stocks, Nasdaq futures gained 2.3 per cent.

The S&P 500 is expected to rise about 1 percent when trading starts later on Tuesday, futures indicate. The Stocks Europe 600 index rose 0.9 percent, led by utilities and tech stocks. The 10-year-old U.S. Production on Treasury notes fell 6 basis points, or 0.06 percentage points, to 1.53 per cent.

The stock market has been volatile in recent weeks amid bond yields and fears of inflation. There is little concern that strong economic growth will lead to inflation, and central bankers will respond by tightening monetary policy. On Monday, the Nasdaq fell 2.4 percent, ending more than 10 percent from its January high. A big drop is known as improvement. The S&P 500 was down 0.5 percent on Monday.

The concerns were set aside on Tuesday, as the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said the Biden administration’s $ 1.9 trillion stimulus package and expanded coronavirus vaccine were expected to boost the US economy by 6.5 percent this year. That is double the pace of growth projected in December.

In other bullish economic news, German exports rose unexpectedly in January. Citigroup analysts said they expected exports to decline with imports due to epidemics and supply chain disruption. Instead, the data is a “big upside risk” for their GDP forecast for the first three months of the year, analysts said.

It remains to be seen whether more market participants will buy the message from central bankers that the risks of high and sustainable inflation are low. On Monday, Treasury Secretary and former Federal Reserve Chairman, Janet L. Yale also said she did not believe the stimulus package would lead to higher inflation. “I don’t really think it’s going to happen,” Ms. Ellen told MSNBC. Said, adding that she would turn to full employment of the economy by next year. He added that there were tools available if the cost proved to be expensive.

On Wednesday, US inflation data will be released for February. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict that annual inflation will rise to 1.7 percent from 1.4 percent.

A chipotle window in Brooklyn.  During Chipotle's digital order epidemic, its sales jumped 70 percent.
Deposit …Winnie A. for the New York Times

Julie Cresswell reports that the original experience of sitting in the same line of cars, sometimes calling into a cluttered intercom and pulling up to the window to pay for your food before exiting, could be changed for the first time in decades, Julie Cresswell reports in the New York Times.

“Drive-through is one of those places that hasn’t changed in decades,” said Ally Dotty, North American chief marketing officer for Burger King. “But with Covid, we’re seeing a dramatic acceleration of the directions we were already going.”

Apple is testing its first drive-through in Palby, Texas. Shake Shake is experimenting with a number of new designs and plans, including walk-up windows and curbside pickups.

More restaurants are trying to encourage customers to use ordering apps, which improves order accuracy. They are also trying to figure out how to give customers the best speed through the drive-through or pickup process.

Some restaurants, such as McDonald’s and Burger King, are adding multiple drive-throw lanes. Burger King is conducting three-lane tests in the United States, Brazil and Spain. In the United States and Spain, the third lane is “Express” for pre-ordering through the app. In Brazil, lane delivery takes drivers to a pickup area with food lockers or shelves.

Burger King is also looking to expand its Drive Three in the future with Big Brother-like artificial intelligence system, Deep Flame.

Right now, about half of Burger King are using drive flame technology with digital menu boards to indicate food that is especially popular in the area to this day. It also uses outside factors such as the weather to highlight things like iced coffee on a hot day.

Burger King is testing Bluetooth technology that will be able to identify customers of Burger King’s loyalty program and show their previous orders. If a customer orders a whooper with a small sprite and cheese, grab a pickle, the last three visits, Deep Flame will calculate that the probability is high that the customer will ask for the same order again.

Plans to build an electric plant near the former steel mill include equipment to remove carbon dioxide from the plant's exhaust.
Deposit …Gregor Smtz for the New York Times

The 2016 Paris Climate Agreement focuses on carbon capture as a way to meet targets. The idea seems deceptively simple: turn the pollutants over before they are released into the air, and bury them deep in the ground where they can do no harm.

But the technology has proven to be extremely expensive, and has not caught on as quickly as some advocates had hoped, Stanley Reed reported for the New York Times.

G eel Giant BP is leading a project in England to collect emissions by pipeline from a group of chemical plants in northeast England and send them to deep deep reservoirs under the North Sea. BP hopes it can achieve enough to do profitable business.

BP and its partners are proposing to build a large natural gas-fired electric power station near the Shutter Steel Mill at the mouth of the river. The plant will help replace Britain’s aging remnant-fuel burning power stations and provide the necessary backup electricity when the country’s growing fleet of wind farms is backed up. The equipment will remove carbon dioxide from the power station exhaust.

The pipes will pass through the composting plant to get more carbon dioxide and through the hydrogen-producing factory area, which is favored as a low-carbon fuel. BP also expects to connect other plants in the area. The pipes will carry carbon dioxide 90 miles under the North Sea, where it will be pumped into porous rocks below the coast.

Four other oil giants – Royal Dutch Shell, Norway’s Aquinor, France’s Total and Italy – are also investors in the scheme, although the final go-ahead will wait for the British government’s financial commitment. The cost of the initial phase could reach 5 billion.