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The coronavirus crisis in Britain peaked before the blockade was introduced, a leading expert said today.
Professor Carl Heneghan claims the infections were at their peak in mid-March, 21 days before Britain recorded its worst daily death rate on April 8.
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The Oxford University professor of medicine now believes the spike was in fact a week before the closure began on March 23.
He also emphasized that the strict measures with which the British are currently living are unnecessary after politicians rushed to call for a quarantine across the country.
It occurs when the number of deaths from coronavirus in the UK today increased to at least 16,509 after 449 more people die on the lowest rise for a fortnight
The last time daily mortality figures were so low was March 31, when 319 deaths were recorded.
Professor Heneghan said ministers wrongly introduced the draconian measures after listening to scientific advisers who have been “constantly wrong.”
EMERGENCY CLOSURE
He also praised Sweden for “staying nervous” by not imposing a block.
Professor Heneghan, who also works as a GP, told MailOnline: “The peak of deaths occurred on April 8, and if you understand that, you work back to find the peak of infections.
“That would be 21 days before that, just before the closing point.”
Twenty-one days is the average time it takes for a person to become seriously ill and die after contracting Covid-19.
He claims that if the deaths peaked on April 8, the infections were highest three weeks earlier.
New data shows that the rate of Britons with upper respiratory tract infections dropped from 20 per 100,000 on March 15 to just 12 six days later.
The numbers are not specifically related to the coronavirus, but they provide a good idea since very few people were being evaluated for the fatal error.
The peak of deaths occurred on April 8, and if you understand that, you work back to find the peak of infections.
Professor Carl Heneghan
He claims that if the government accepts that the deaths peaked on April 8, then it must mean that the infections peaked about three weeks earlier.
Professor Heneghan added: “The UK government seems to be losing sight of what is really happening.”
“We have been receiving scientific advice that is constantly wrong.
“He was unable to see all the data and understand when the peak of infections actually occurred.”
He added: “On March 16 there were fifty percent reductions in infections, just when handwashing and social distancing were introduced.
“If you look at what is happening in Sweden, you are nervous and you have not had an end of the world scenario.” Our government has understood it completely backwards. “
He also said that mass testing was the way to go and that the lack of contact tracing had “completely failed” older people.
DEADLY ERROR
Professor Heneghan added: “Why did the scientific advisers say to abandon mass testing and contact tracing?
“We can see that it worked for other countries like Germany and South Korea, so why?
“If it was about resources, look at what Germany did. He returned the responsibility, having the universities and healthcare sites test.
“We centralize it. But that would always be impossible for 66 million people in the UK.
“We have failed the elderly: Homecare and healthcare workers had to be screened and isolated.”
However, virologist Lena Einhorn criticized Sweden’s coronavirus policy and described it as a “great failure”.
She said to the Observer: “You have to admit that it is a great failure, since you have said all along that your main objective has been to protect the elderly.
“But what is really strange is that they still don’t recognize the probable route.
“They say it is very unfortunate that they are investigating and that it is a matter of training personnel, but they will not recognize that presymptomatic or asymptomatic spread is a factor.”
Meanwhile, the Secretary of Culture said today that the coronavirus blockade could remain in part for a total of three months.
Oliver Dowden said this morning that Boris Johnson had emphasized in March that he hoped the country could “change course” in 12 weeks, and that appears to be what is happening.
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The death toll in the UK rises to 16,509 after the deaths of 449 more people
He added that the prime minister was concerned about lifting the blockade restrictions too soon and was cautious about changing them.
Dowden told Radio 4: “The prime minister is very concerned about a second spike if we lift the restrictions too soon.”
And when asked if the shutdown would close early next month, as some recent reports suggest, he replied: “We said right at the beginning of this and the Prime Minister said he expected this peak to last around three months.”
“What happened is something consistent with that.”
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