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Democrats are expected to expand their majority in the House of Representatives by winning several election races Tuesday night, an expansion that would build on the impressive victories of Democrats in the 2018 midterm elections, when they won 41 seats. in the camera.
The Cook Political Report, which provides nonpartisan political and electoral analysis, predicted on Monday that Democrats will win 10-15 seats in the House, which has 435 members. “A combination of President Trump’s unpopularity in the suburbs, a fundraising handicap, and 32 open seats for the Republican Party to defend (a dozen Democrats) has weighed on Republican prospects,” said David Wasserman, by Cook Political Report.
Questions and answers
How does the Guardian report the results of the US elections?
Although most people are likely to be watching the results of the White House race, there are more than 7,000 elections in the United States on Tuesday, November 3.
In the era of disinformation, it is more important than ever that the media report election results as clearly and transparently as possible.
The Guardian will use the data collected and analyzed by the Associated Press (AP) as a source for when we will call up the results of the elections for the presidency, the Senate, the House elections and others. AP has a team of thousands of specialists and correspondents throughout the United States, who have trusted relationships with local officials. This will guide your data-driven assessment of when it’s time to call a race.
There are a number of other highly reputable electoral “decision desks” in the American media. They can call races before AP. While The Guardian will report that this is happening, we will rely on AP data to make our own final call.
If any candidate declares victory prematurely, we will report this claim, but clarify that it is invalid. The only measure of victory is a complete count of all outstanding votes.
Democrats currently have 232 seats, while Republicans have 197. There are five vacant House seats and one seat held by libertarians, CNN said. The Republican Party would need 218 seats to gain control. Such a disorder is highly unlikely.
Across the country, Republican candidates are chasing first-year Democrats who won in the 2018 midterm elections. Meanwhile, Democrats hope to win key Republican districts, USA Today explained. Texas, which is an overwhelmingly red state, is key in this battle. According to Wasserman’s analysis, there are six “vulnerable” Republican seats in Congress in Texas.
Representative Michael McCaul, whose district stretches from suburban Houston to Austin, faces a “real risk of defeat” against Democrat Mike Siegel. In the suburban Dallas / Fort Worth area, Republican Representative Kenny Marchant’s seat is now tilting toward Democrat Candace Valenzuela, according to Hill.
In Ohio, Democrats believe a longtime Republican seat representing the Cincinnati-area suburbs has become more competitive. While Republican Rep. Steve Chabot is running for his thirteenth term, Democrats hope his candidate, health care executive Kate Schroder, will attract voters concerned about health policy, according to the Post.
However, a congressional race near Atlanta, Georgia, could test the Democrats’ success in courting suburban voters. The district’s Republican Representative, Rob Woodall, is retiring. Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux, who lost to Woodall in 2018, is the 2020 candidate against Republican candidate Rich McCormick. Given that the district remains conservative, the result will give insight into the efforts of Democrats to get the vote in the state, the Washington Post reported.
Another key electoral race is in South Carolina, where Democrat Joe Cunningham is fighting to keep the seat he won from the Republicans in 2018. Cunningham was the first Democrat to take a Republican House seat in South Carolina since 1986. , and Republicans began looking at Cunningham for the seat shortly after he was elected as part of their plan to retake the House in 2020.
This South Carolina contest has become the most expensive US House of Representatives race in state history. Cunningham’s fundraiser stands at $ 6 million, while his Republican opponent, State Rep. Nancy Mace, has raised more than $ 4 million between the primary and general elections, the AP notes.
In New Mexico, contests are testing Democrats’ control of the state. Democrat Xochitl Torres Small, who represents southern New Mexico in Congress, is fighting to keep her seat in a historically Republican-leaning district.
The extremely close race, a rematch between Torres Small and his 2018 opponent, former Republican State Rep. Yvette Herrell, will hinge on voter turnout, according to AP. In 2018, Torres Small outperformed Herrell by less than 2% of the vote, New Mexico’s KRWG Public Media reported.
Another Congressional race to follow is unfolding in the New York borough that covers Staten Island and southern Brooklyn. This is the only indecisive district in overwhelmingly Democratic New York. Max Rose, the Democratic incumbent, faces Republican State Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis.
The bitter race has featured weeks of negative attack announcements, and Malliotakis insists that she is the candidate for law and order. This position, of course, is also touted by Trump, who won Staten Island in 2016. Trump is backing Malliotakis in the race, according to AP.
