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Yvette Cooper, chair of the Home Affairs Committee who was also part of the hearing, pressured Professor Aston to indicate how many people arriving in the UK are estimated to have had Covid-19.
He said: “We are confident that at no time until March 23 has the number of cases exceeded 0.5 per cent of all national cases in the UK.”
Ms. Cooper added: “That period in mid-March, we had 40,000 people a week still arriving from Milan, 40,000 people a week still arriving from Madrid.
“At the same point, the maximum prevalence in Italy was probably around 1 percent, estimated for northern Italy at its peak, so I would suggest that there are hundreds of people arriving during that period from Milan and Madrid alone.
“Is that a fair assessment of the order? Talk about hundreds of people instead of dozens of people, arriving with Covid-19 during that period?”
Prod Aston replied: “I think it would depend exactly on the prevalence estimates he was using, what death rates he was using.”
