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Sgo David Spiegelhalter, Professor of Understanding Risk at Cambridge University, said we were seeing an increase in hospitalizations, but “nothing like the situation in March.”
Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today show, he said: “It was really scary, they were doubling every three four days in March, now they are doubling every two or three weeks.
“The treatments have improved a lot, we could expect up to half the death rate we saw previously.
“So there is an increase in mortality and the records have gone up 40 percent to around 20 per day in England and Wales, but it’s still a very different picture than what we saw at the beginning.”
The statistician added that since the beginning of the crisis there have been 25,000 more deaths in the non-Covid household, which is approximately 40% more and that this “has not changed” despite the return of more normal death rates.
“Presumably this is a combination of deaths well backed up by GPS etc. but some may be dying alone and some could have survived longer if they had gone to the hospital. I hate to say this as a statistic, but I don’t know.
“But this is not something that has gone, it continues and we do not know if it will be a permanent situation. And again, most people would rather die at home, so if it’s well-supported deaths, this could be a positive step, ”he said.
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