[ad_1]
The government said that, as of 9 a.m. Sunday, there had been a further 12,872 laboratory-confirmed coronavirus cases in the UK, though the figure is likely to skew lower due to a weekend delay in reporting.
According to the worst case, more than 40,000 cases would have been confirmed. Daily infections should rise 37,128 more in Sunday’s total to reach 50,000 on Wednesday, October 13, as the model suggests.
The government said another 65 people had died within 28 days of testing positive for Covid-19 through Sunday, less than a third of the total forecast for mid-October in the worst case scenario.
Experts have accused officials of trying to “scare people” into agreeing to new lockdown restrictions to contain the virus.
Professor Karol Sikora, a former director of the World Health Organization, suggested that the “implausible” graphic had damaged public confidence in government, saying: “If you try to scare people with worst-case scenarios, it doesn’t work. they just think it’s all nonsense and they lose confidence in everything else you say.
“I can’t see any value on that graph. The more tests, the more cases you’ll find, and of course the tests have been prioritized in areas with higher infection rates. We need a sensible discussion of the risks posed by the coronavirus, not scenarios. apocalyptics based on unstable science. “
It later emerged that the government’s suggestion that infections were doubling every seven days (one of the scenarios illustrated below) was largely based on studies that included only a few hundred cases rather than large test data. scale.
