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On the eve of Election Day, the betting markets had moved in favor of a Trump victory, with the odds in stark contrast to the predictions. The final poll had indicated that Biden had the best chance of winning last night, leading Donald Trump nationally on average by 8.4 percent in the last reading, more than double the lead of Hillary Clinton on Election Day in 2016. .
However, closer-than-expected races in key changing states mean negative polls and dire predictions for Trump may have vastly underestimated his chances of a surprise victory.
With the benefit of hindsight, experts can point to the president’s approval ratings barely changing despite a tumultuous year and central support for his economic and immigration policies, as signs that Trump would once again prove himself the victorious loser. .
Results are still expected in key states; Please check back regularly to see the latest results as they appear.
Key swing states remain to be seen
All 50 states and the District of Columbia voted yesterday. To win the election, a candidate needs at least 270 of the 538 votes offered in the U.S. indirect voting system, The Electoral College, where candidates get votes by being first in a state and getting their proportional part of the total. The victory in California, with a population of 39.5 million, gives him 55 votes in the electoral college, while the victory in Wyoming, home to 580,000, gives him three.
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan are three key states to look out for, but no results were expected on Election Night. They are part of America’s ‘Rust Belt’, a region hard hit by industrial decline, and they were key to Trump’s victory in 2016. If Biden wins all three while maintaining control of the states last won by Clinton , he is likely on his way to the presidency.
