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Call for early closure of the lockdown as UK data is’ better than anyone expected
Week-over-week numbers of cases and deaths continued to fall yesterday, with one expert suggesting that they are improving faster than all government models had predicted.
Mark Woolhouse is professor of infectious disease epidemiology at the University of Edinburgh and a member of the Pandemic Influenza Scientific Modeling Group (SPI-M), whose projections helped guide the government’s roadmap to ease restrictions.
And he told The Telegraph: “In fact, the data looks better than the models predicted and, as far as I know, better than anyone expected.
“If the phrase ‘data-driven, not date-driven’ has any meaning, then you should allow scheduling to go ahead to relax constraints if data is better than expected and not just delay scheduling if data is worse than the expected.”
While calling for caution about the risks of relaxing measures too soon, he said it was “a public health imperative to relax measures as soon as it is safe to do so.