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It is not a race until 270, rather crawling, as the tortoise catches the hare.
On tuesday night Donald trump he had run to lead in Georgia and Pennsylvania. Since then he has observed Joe biden cutting them gradually.
The president needs to win both states to be sure of the magical Electoral College 270 votes that would keep him in the White House.
If Joe Biden wins Georgia, the worst thing he could do is draw. Pennsylvania wins and the former vice president finally gets the top job.
So what is the situation?
GEORGIA
There are fewer than 14,000 votes, mostly absentees, to be counted in this historically Republican state. At 5am on Friday morning (UK time), Trump’s lead was just 1,805 votes and most of the outstanding ballots are in two counties: Clayton, who leans heavily on Democrats, and Gwinnett, that Hillary Clinton beat the Republicans in 2016. Joe Biden needs to take about 55% of what is left to win. If he did, he would become the first Democratic candidate to win Georgia since Bill Clinton in 1992, and he had the help of Ross Perot. If it stays on par, then the 8,800 military ballots that have yet to be counted could come into play.
PENNSYLVANIA
In Pennsylvania, the flood of Democratic postal votes has helped Joe Biden turn a deficit of around 700,000 votes into one of around 20,000 votes. More significantly, Biden is adding between 70% and 80% of each lot counted to his vote tally. If that continues, he will not only surpass President Trump, but he will also build a considerable lead, large enough to secure the 20 Electoral College votes that Pennsylvania and the White House offer. Most of the pending votes are in Philadelphia, friendly to Democrats. One county, Allegheny, in the Pittsburgh area, will count the remaining 36,000 votes on Saturday.
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NEVADA
But what if Joe Biden doesn’t win Pennsylvania? Then Nevada becomes more important. His leadership in the state of casinos and gambling has risen from 8,000 votes to around 12,000. Approximately 60,000, primarily postal ballots, must be counted and 90% of them in Clark County, which includes Las Vegas. Clark tends to vote Democrats. The last time he endorsed a Republican for the presidency was in 1988. Then, a gambler could bet his money on Biden to keep the six Electoral College votes on offer.
ARIZONA
However, the 11 Arizona Electoral College votes could be slipping out of Joe Biden’s hands. Absentee and postal ballots are breaking down for Donald Trump and have steadily reduced the Democratic candidate’s lead to around 46,000. Trump needs to win about 58% of the 290,000 ballots that have yet to be counted, and he is currently receiving about 56% of them. Three-quarters of the pending votes are in Maricopa County, where Biden has a limited lead, but Republicans have been the winners since 1948. If Joe Biden can win Arizona, he will be the first Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Bill Clinton. in 1996.
Win Pennsylvania, rebuild the blue wall and Joe Biden leaves the presidency out of question. Add Nevada and make victory more comfortable. With Georgia or Arizona it makes history. Everything is still possible. While Donald Trump’s hopes depend on Pennsylvania. Lose that and lose your job.
