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A first 0-0 at home in four years for Arsenal? Our betting expert ‘Jones Knows’ makes his Premier League predictions to find some angles to consider for the weekend’s action.
Manchester United vs Chelsea, Saturday – 5.30 pm, live on Sky Sports
“We are back in shape,” said Ole Gunnar Solskjaer after his team left Paris with an impressive victory in the middle of the week. It is difficult to argue with him. They looked like a side of the back to the best of their ability. Remember, not long ago United were unbeaten in 14 games after the restart. Some people have short memories, including markets where United appears to be looking for a supported price to score maximum points.
I’ll keep them in the game against Chelsea, who have kept just a clean sheet in 21 Premier League away games with Frank Lampard. My colleague Gerard Brand paints the picture of Chelsea’s defensive woes here perfectly if you fancy reading an intelligent analysis.
United won both league games against Chelsea last season, and against Saturday, there are strong reasons for them to continue that winning trend.
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United’s move to make Marcus Rashford more central has resulted in a greater emphasis on the breadth provided by the wings to the point where Aaron Wan-Bissaka, usually as dangerous as a cub in attack, scored home his first goal of his career. Weekend. With Ben Chilwell confident of playing high for Chelsea, I’d be pretty sure Wan-Bissaka, with a juicy 9/4, would follow in the footsteps of fellow right-backs Tariq Lamptey, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Kyle Walker-Peters. and register a shot in the goal of Edouard Mendy.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 3-1 (16/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO BE WATCHED BY: Aaron Wan-Bissaka to shoot on goal on 9/4 with Sky Bet
Saturday, October 24 5:00 pm
Start 5:30 pm
Liverpool vs Sheffield United, Saturday – 8 pm, live on Sky Sports Box Office
This is the last thing Chris Wilder and his sympathetic Blades team need. A trip to the champions, who have not lost at home since April 23, 2017.
As for their performance metrics, I’m sure Wilder will turn things around – getting a first goal in a soccer game will be crucial as they don’t really have the players to chase a game, but they’re great at protecting an advantage. This accessory will try to stay in the game as long as possible. A tough question, indeed, with Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah in lethal form in front of goal.
I can’t foresee too much trouble for Jurgen Klopp’s men even without Virgil van Dijk as Fabinho looks like a very reliable substitute, as explained here by my colleague Peter Smith, who was impressed by his performance in the 1-0 win over him. Ajax on Wednesday. Win to zero at home.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 2-0 (2/11 with Sky Bet)
Sunday
Southampton vs Everton, Sunday at 2pm, live on Super Sunday
This should be a good way to start your Sunday sports live.
Both teams are playing with great confidence in the attacking areas and apparently have a lot of faith in what their respective coaches are trying to achieve.
Since defeating Watford in late November, only Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd have earned more points than the Saints, while Everton have won 43 points in Carlo Ancelotti’s 25 Premier League games in charge; again only Liverpool, City and United have won more. .
So this could be defined as a ‘top six’ clash under the current form.
Richarlison, James Rodriguez and Seamus Coleman have all been ruled out for Everton, which tips the balance slightly in favor of the Saints, but once again, it’s the price of the tie that makes 12/5 more attractive.
One area Everton will rejoice in will be on set pieces. No team has scored more goals than they have from corners and free kicks this season (6) and no team has created more chances from such situations (12).
Michael Keane and Yerry Mina are big threats, especially Mina, who is one of the best in world football at attacking a high ball. The 1/18 for him to head butt is an insult to his prowess and is firmly on my betting radar this weekend.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 1-1 (5/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO ATTENTION: Yerry Mina will score a header on 1/18
Wolves vs Newcastle, Sunday – 4.30 pm, live on Super Sunday
When Newcastle took an early lead against Manchester United last weekend, it shot up to fourth place in the Premier League table.
However, by blowing the whistle full-time after a 4-1 loss, #BruceOut was trending on social media.
It’s a narrative that will be shot down by ‘soccer people’ within soccer circles, but there’s a reason the Toons are the fourth favorites to drop this season despite a healthy seven-point return. Performance metrics show that Newcastle have faced the most shots on target (38) and shots per game (17.2) in the Premier League this season.
Can Steve Bruce challenge the data one more time? Only time will tell.
But for this weekend, the Wolves seem like a reasonably solid proposition to get maximum points around 4/5 with Sky Bet. No team has won more Premier League games since February 23 than Wolves, who are the kings of getting the job done with their pragmatic style. A nervous 1-0 win with a winner in the second half makes sense.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 1-0 (5/1 with Sky Bet)
Sunday October 25 4:00 pm
Start 4:30 pm
Arsenal vs Leicester, Sunday – 7.15pm, live at the Sky Sports box office
This accessory just screams low score.
Mikel Arteta is undoubtedly a crafty cookie and is bringing out the best in the players at his disposal. But I have yet to fully accept the long-term prospects of this controlled style of football that does not generate many important opportunities. For example, only Crystal Palace and West Brom have had fewer shots than Arsenal this season. And as Adam Bate wrote earlier this season regarding shooting data: “The reality is that shot volume matters. It is an excellent predictor of future performance, far more so than conversion rates.”
A developing angle to watch out for is also the drop in performance levels of Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang in front of goal. In four matches since signing his new contract, he has yet to find the net and his expected goal data is also below his usual standard.
Meanwhile, Leicester could still run out of its top four players for this one, with Wilfred Ndidi, Ricardo Pereira, Caglar Soyuncu and Jamie Vardy all able to pass a fitness test, all in the treatment room. It is certainly affecting his attack prowess. Against West Ham, they mustered just an expected goal number of 0.57 and followed up with a 0.61 comeback in the loss to Aston Villa.
For the prices, I’m happy to be on the side of a goalless draw, which would be the first 0-0 in a league game at Arsenal’s home in exactly four years.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 0-0 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
Monday
Brighton vs West Brom, Monday – 5.30 pm, live on Sky Sports Box Office
I’d be concerned about West Brom’s defense down the middle in this one.
Branislav Ivanovic managed relatively well in his Premier League comeback against Burnley’s brutal attack, but will face an entirely different test against Neal Maupay, Aaron Connolly and Leandro Trossard. At 36, he may be lacking the pace to stop a talented front-row Brighton. Additionally, West Brom has yet to register an expected goal number above 1.00 in any of its first five games. This looks like an easy home win if Brighton shows up.
One angle to watch out for is the likely matchup between Grady Diangana and Tariq Lamptey, as the West Brom man is the most fouled player in the Premier League this season. Lamptey is not afraid of a challenge, as evidenced by his 11 fouls conceded this season, which is the fourth most in the league. The 4/1 on it to be reserved looks juicy.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 3-1 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO BE WATCHING: Tariq Lamptey to book on 4/1 with Sky Bet
Burnley vs Tottenham, Monday – 8 pm, live on Sky Sports
Burnley have started the season slowly, but their performance metrics remain similar to last season, in which they were a solid team in the middle of the table. Defensively, there has been encouragement for Sean Dyche’s men: Only three teams have faced lower expected goals in the Premier League, while they are the best in duels won and aerial duels won.
The problem for them this Monday will be the current form of Harry Kane, who acted as the best forward in world football against West Ham. Kane has seven goals in eight Premier League appearances against Burnley; it’s hard to see Dyche’s men stop him.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTIONS: 1-2 (2/13 with Sky Bet)
Pitch to Post Preview Podcast: Mata Exclusive, Everton’s Latest, Coady’s Rise at Wolves
Juan Mata | is the special guest on this week’s show, and he says Peter smith about Man Utd’s Get back to form, look forward to your clash with Chelseaand share their views on the work they do off the field Marcus Rashford.
In addition, we have more consequences of the Merseyside derby with Alan Myers Explain Everton perspective, Johnny phillips talk about cult hero Conor Coady’s importance to Wolves and the Sky Sports data editor Adam smith digs deep into the numbers behind the Premier League goal run and makes a bold pitch!
Listen to the launch of Sky Sports to publish the podcast on: Spotify | Apple | Castbox
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