New York – This is the worst year in U.S. history, with the first million expected to die for the first time – mainly due to the coronavirus epidemic.
Final death data for this year will not be available for months. But preliminary figures indicate that the United States is on track to see more than 2.2 million deaths this year, or at least more than 201, more than 100,000 deaths.
U.S. deaths have been rising for most of the year, so some annual increase in casualties is expected. But the 2020 figure jumps to about 15% and could rise further after all the deaths this month are counted.
It would mark the largest one-year percentage leap since 1918, when thousands of U.S. soldiers died in World War I and hundreds of thousands of Americans died of flu pandemics. Compared to 1917, deaths that year increased by 46%.
COVID-19 has counted more than 318,000 Americans and votes. Before that, there was reason to be optimistic about U.S. death trends.
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The country’s overall mortality rate fell slightly in 2019 due to a reduction in deaths from heart disease and cancer. Life expectancy has risen by several weeks – by the second week – according to death certificate data released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Tuesday.
But by 2020, life expectancy could be three years, said Robert Enders of the CDC.
The CDC calculated 2,854,838 U.S. deaths last year, or 16,000 more than in 2018. That’s the good news: deaths typically increase from about 20,000 to 50,000 each year, mainly due to the country’s aging and growing population.
Before the coronavirus arrived, U.S. It was among the deadliest drug overdoses epidemics in its history.
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Indeed, the age-adjusted mortality rate has dropped by about 1% in 2019, and life expectancy has increased by about six weeks to 78.8 years, the CDC reports.
“It was a really good year for things like mortality,” said Anderson, who oversees the CDC’s death statistics.
U.S. The coronavirus epidemic has been a major driver of direct and indirect deaths this year.
The virus was first identified in China last year, and the first U.S. case was reported this year. But it has only become the third leading cause of death behind heart disease and cancer. For some time this year, Covid-19 was the No. 1 killer.
But there has also been an increase in some other types of deaths.
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An outbreak of pneumonia cases earlier this year could be a Covid-19 death that was not initially recognized at the start of the epidemic. But some types of heart and circulatory diseases, diabetes and dementia have also led to unexpected deaths, Anderson said.
Many of them, too, may be related to Kovid. He said patients already battling those conditions with the virus could be weakened or lessened by the care they are receiving.
At the onset of the epidemic, some were optimistic that car accidents would decrease as people went to a social event or stopped driving. Data on that is not yet available, but narrative reports indicate that there has been no reduction.
Suicide deaths decreased in 2019 compared to 2018, but preliminary data indicate they are not declining this year, Anderson and others said.
Drug overdose deaths, meanwhile, worsened.
Before the coronavirus arrived, U.S. The terrible drug overdose was among the epidemics in its history.
All 2020 data is not yet available. But last week the CDC said more than 81,000 people died from drug overdoses in the 12 months ending in May, the highest recorded in a single year.
Experts believe that epidemic disruption in individual treatment and recovery services may be a factor. People are also more likely to take medications alone – without the benefit of a friend or family member who can call 911 or give an overdose-reversing medication.
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One big factor could be the drugs themselves: COVID-19 has also caused supply problems for dealers, so they are increasingly mixing cheap and deadly fentanyl into heroin, cocaine and methamphetamine, experts said.
“I have no doubt there are a bunch of new people who suddenly started using drugs because of covid. If anything, I think the supply of people who are already using drugs is more contaminated,” said Shannon Monnet, a researcher at Syracuse University. Said study of drug overdose trends.
