U.S. Coronavirus: U.S. In the new model project Covid-19 case will almost double in the next two months

According to the University of Washington in St. Louis Forecast Model Dell, by January 20, U.S. Its current number could double to about 12.4 million infections.

More than 1.1 million infections have been reported in the U.S. since the beginning of November, with more than 1.1 million infections reported since the beginning of November.

Some experts have predicted that health care workers may face difficult rationing care decisions as soon as hospitals reach capacity.

And as the numbers increase, hundreds more Americans will lose their lives to the virus every day. More than 10,000 people have died in the past week – many of them alone and without a chance to say goodbye to their loved ones.

Since the outbreak began, U.S. More than 257,600 people have died in India – more than any other country so far. Another 140,000 people will die in the next two months, according to estimates by the Washington-based University Health Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.

Expert: The safest thing you can do this week is stay home

Before things start to get better with the help of potential vaccines, things will get worse in the coming weeks, experts warn.

But while millions of travelers have already ignored U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warnings against traveling during the holidays, many fear the Thanksgiving celebration will only help to spread the virus already spread.
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Speaking during a live interview with The Washington Post on Monday, Dr. Anthony Fawcett urged Americans to reconsider their trip to Thanksgiving. In the case grow – and warn what may come next.

“We’re seeing a sharp increase in cases right now in the mid-fall season,” he said. “If, in fact, you’re in a situation where you’re doing things that increase risks – travel, collecting settings, not wearing a mask – chances are you’ll see an increase in mind.”

This week, he said, “The safest thing you can do is limit your own activities to the immediate occupants of that home.”

That’s a suggestion that has been repeated by experts, health officials and local and state leaders in the weeks leading up to the holiday.

Alabama’s top doctor cutter said Monday that before the holidays, “our numbers are worse than they used to be” and urged residents to think about more sensitive members of their community when making holiday plans.

State Health Officer Dr. “We’re going to go a long way in deciding what kind of Thanksgiving we have to decide what December looks like,” Scott Harris said. “Should we try to have a conversation like we’re going to get here a month from now?”

“I really, really don’t hope.”

‘Buy a better mask’

In the midst of a crisis, Americans can take a simple step to protect themselves, said former U.S. Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Dr. According to Scott Gottlieb: “Buy a better mask.”

“While there is still a shortage of medical masks, health care workers have dedicated the supply chain,” Gottlieb wrote in the Wall Street Journal on Sunday. “It’s time to improve the guidance for customers.”

The N95 mask and its equivalent provide the best protection against viruses, he wrote, and will filter out at least 95% of infectious particles. Their similarities include KN95 from China and FFP2 from Europe.

Surgical masks provide about 60% protection, Gottlieb said. But quality matters.

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He wrote, “A real medical-processing mask will be cleared by the Food and Drug Administration and designated as an offer of one of three levels of protection. In general, a Level 2 or Level 3 medical mask is best,” he wrote.

The cloth mask is the least protective, but if it is the only option, it should be made of ga thick, snug-fitting and cotton-polyester blends.

“It will be difficult to slow down the current cycle of spread. But encouraging Americans to wear high-quality masks is a simple step that might make a difference,” he wrote.

Covid-1 sur surgeons In recent weeks, more governors have gone to their states to make masks mandatory.

In North Carolina, Gov. Roy Cooper announced that he was tightening the state’s mask requirement to make it clear that “everyone needs to wear a mask whenever they are not in the same household.”

The governor’s new order will also require masks in places inside public buildings when residents travel with people outside the home, all schools and all public or private transport, exercising, exercising, exercising in the gym. Large retail businesses in the order will also need to transfer staff near the entrance so that customers wear masks and follow business limits.

“I give a full warning to North Carolinians today: We are in danger,” Cooper said in a statement. “This is an important moment in our fight against coronavirus. Now our actions will determine the fate of many.”

28% increase in infant cases at 2 weeks

It’s not just adults who get infected at a rapidly increasing rate

According to a joint report by the American Academy of Pediatrics and Children’s Hospital Hospital Association, more than 256,000 new Covid-19 cases were reported in children between November 5 and 19.

That means that as of November 19, about 1.2 million children had tested positive for the virus since the onset of the epidemic – representing about 12% of cases of covid-19 cases in the state that reported infection by age. The numbers in the report come from 49 states, New York City, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and Guam.

The report comes as more leaders across the country have begun closing schools amid an increase in cases.

The Metro Nashville Public School District announced Monday that schools will return to all-virtual education from the Thanksgiving break, and will remain that way for the rest of the semester.

Testing alone will not keep you safe for Thanksgiving
“Our transmission rate, new cases per 100,000 inhabitants and the 7-day positivity rate are at their highest point in months, and the situation could only get worse,” the school’s director, Dr. Adrian Batel, said in a statement.

“This is a serious and dramatic public health crisis in which we all need to renew awareness and take safety precautions for ourselves, our families, our friends and wearing masks, social distance and safety so that we can stay safe. Stay away from indoor gatherings. ”

And New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio Announced Public school buildings will be closed “as a precautionary measure” after the city’s 7-day average reached a positive test rate threshold of 3% last week.
Also last week, the governor of Kentucky. Andy Basheer issued an administrative order suspending individual education in K-12 public and private schools starting this week. He also called on middle and high school students to continue distance learning until at least Jan. 4, while the school will allow elementary schools to reopen Dec. 7 until the “red zone” is in the county – something that is certain. Complies with state health department standards and other state guidelines.
On Friday, the state’s attorney general announced he would join a federal lawsuit against the order, arguing it was unconstitutional because it would prevent religious organizations from providing private education.

The FDA asks the Vaccine Advisory Committee to meet twice next month

Meanwhile, as state leaders navigate in the coming weeks, a potential candidate for the vaccine could be on the way.

On Friday, Pfizer and Bioentech made representations to the FDA for emergency use approval for their Covid-19 vaccine candidate. Pfizer had previously said that a final analysis of the Phase 3 trial of their vaccine showed it was 95% effective in preventing infection even in older adults, and there was no serious safety concern.
Preliminary data released last week showed that the moderne vaccine also has a very successful rate – 94.5% effective against the virus. And AstraZeneca on Monday showed an average effectiveness of 70% in large-scale trials of its experimental Covid-19 vaccine.

The FDA has now asked members of its vaccine advisory committee to reserve a meeting for December 17 and 18, presumably. Probably according to a source familiar with the process to discuss what the vaccine is being developed by Moderna.

The FDA consults with its Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee before allowing any vaccine – including any Covid-19 vaccine – to enter the market.

A December 10 committee meeting has also been called by the FDA to consider Pfizer’s application for authorization for immediate use.

More information is awaited about the study participants who became ill with the coronavirus and may apply to the FDA for emergency use authorization next week, according to a Moder spokesperson.

“In the coming weeks or more, we expect to see efficacy data based on 151 Covid-19 cases per protocol, and will present the EUA as soon as possible based on the data,” spokesman Ray Jordan told CNN. Told CNN.

CNN’s Shelby Lynn Erdman, Naomi Thomas, Elizabeth Cohen, Eileen McMenamin, Cherry Mossberg, Artemis Mostagian, Jacqueline Howard, Jameel Lynch and Holly Silverman contributed to the report.