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Worst case scenario: What happens if the vaccine is not found?
Hopes against the coronavirus, which has stopped the world, are tied to an effective vaccine and drug. So what will be “normal” in the worst case, in the absence of a vaccine? How will our life progress? Infectious disease experts said …
WALL – The coronavirus outbreak is ending and a vaccine is available to normalize the spread and spread of life worldwide. But what if a vaccine is found recently or not at all, like the HIV virus? Or, like measles, what ‘normal’ will the world return to if there are problems spreading the vaccine?
CNN International has published an analysis of this scenario, which politicians never mentioned but that experts consider possible. Several leading infection specialist doctors said that in this scenario they consider it possible, everyone will do a great job individually.
EVERY MOMENT CAN BE REACHED
In a setting where there is never a vaccine against Covid-19 disease, societies will have to learn to live with it and give up hope of eradicating the new coronavirus. Cities will open slowly, but if a new wave of outbreaks arises, there will always be the possibility of reapplying quarantine measures at different scales. Even if treatments are developed, the coronavirus will continue to die.
“What happens if a coronavirus vaccine is never developed? It happened before: CNN “
It is worth reading. https://t.co/dxfcq1xrry
– Tegid Roberts (@TegidRoberts) May 3, 2020
NO HIV VACCINATION AND BALANCE CARE
Experts interviewed by CNN say that because coronaviruses do not mutate as fast as HIV or malaria, it is likely that a vaccine will eventually be found. However, a potential vaccine is expected to be widely available as soon as possible in 18 months. Furthermore, it is noted that HIV vaccine studies, which have been in progress for approximately 40 years, are not yet achieving an outcome, so this scenario should be considered. According to data from the World Health Organization, Deng fever, which is transmitted to 400,000 people a year, is among the viral diseases that cannot be vaccinated.
‘WE WILL LEARN TO LIVE WHEN WE ARE PROTECTED’
Professor David Nabarro, a global health expert at Imperial College London, said: “There are still viruses that we have not been able to find the vaccine against.” [Yeni korona virüsü için] “We cannot strongly assume that it will be a vaccine or that it will pass efficacy and safety tests.” “It is vital that all societies adopt a position in which they are protected from the corona virus as a constant threat and that social life and economic activities can continue while we are inside the virus,” says Nabarro.
So what is this “position”? What will a life be without vaccination?
‘A NEW GLOBAL COMMUNITY AGREEMENT IS REQUIRED’
“It is absolutely vital that we work to prepare for Covid,” says Nabarro, calling for a new “social contract.” The English teacher says that when citizens of each country start their normal lives, they need a “contract” to isolate themselves if they show signs of illness or contact a sick person. Nabarro describes his proposal as “a collective agreement to survive and be healthy in the face of a virus threat.”
‘WILL REMOTE WORK BE STANDARD?
Consequently, the culture that works will not end up taking symptoms like the simple cold / flu seriously; telecommuting will become the new standard, especially for white collar people. Companies will need to adjust their office space so that they are not overcrowded and change the way they work from home.
“ISOLATED MUST BE VISITED AS A HERO”
“Those who are isolated should be seen as heroes rather than parya,” says Nabarro, who says everyone should take personal responsibility. However, he points out that it will be difficult for poor countries to adopt this type of work culture, and emphasizes that supporting these countries is very important against a second global epidemic.
“GOVERNMENTS MUST CONTINUE TESTING AND FILTRATION AT ALL TIMES”
Experts also claim that in a ‘normalization’ process where the vaccine is not yet available, comprehensive testing and filigree programs must continue for life to continue in parallel with Covid-19. Dr. from Baylor School of Medicine in Houston. Peter Hotez said: “It is absolutely critical that health systems take measures such as follow-up contact, diagnosis in the workplace, observation of syndromes and early communication on whether social distance should be re-enabled. This can be done, but it is complicated and has not been done before. “
Hotez says that in a deal where contact is minimized, busy events, like sports competitions, can start again. However, the American doctor points out that these decisions can be temporary and governments and public health institutions must constantly assess the prevalence of new infections.
‘NEW MEASURES MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE WINTER MONTHS’
According to Hotez, he adds that if a vaccine cannot be found, Covid-19 outbreaks can peak every winter, and therefore curfew restrictions can be reapplied. “From time to time there will be new outbreaks and movement will be limited,” said Nabarro. This restriction may apply to some regions of a country, or to all of them. “
‘THE IMMUNITY OF INFECTED GRASS IS VERY HARMFUL’
In this discussion, “collective immunity” comes to mind, which means that most of society is immune to an infectious disease. Paul Offit, one of the doctors who found the rattan virus vaccine, emphasizes that this type of immunity is a better way to get vaccinated, not the infection itself. Claiming that the effects of Covid-19 are severe even when most of society is not sick, Offit said: “Measles is an excellent example. Before vaccines became widespread, 2 to 3 million people a year were infected with this disease. This happens at Covid-19, ”he said.
“I am amazed if you are before 18 months”
Offit expressed his belief that a vaccine would be found and said: “There is a lot of money, a lot of interest and the goal is clear,” he warned, observing past outbreaks, that “vaccination searches are unpredictable.” The American doctor said: “I don’t think a vaccine will be found quickly. If something happens to us in 18 months, I will be very surprised. ” (EXTERNAL NEWS)
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