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116 people were killed in the devastating 6.6-magnitude earthquake that struck the Aegean off Seferihisar on October 30, and many buildings, including ‘severe’, ‘medium’ and ‘light’, were damaged . When the next earthquake occurred in the mind of the citizen. Director of DEU DAUM and faculty member of the Department of Geological Engineering Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir stated that as a result of geodetic investigations, it was revealed which earthquake occurred when and when,
“There is a study we have done in this region. This study called ‘Geodetic Earthquake Recurrence Interval’ has been published recently. The probability of an earthquake of what magnitude and when has been determined on a regional scale, especially in the metropolitan area of Izmir and the Karaburun Peninsula. It turned out that happened.
‘THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF AN EARTHQUAKE OF SIZE 6 IN 10-20 YEARS’
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Recalling that an earthquake of 6 or more in Izmir will have a devastating effect, Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir said: “6 and more earthquakes in Izmir are reaching the limit of destructive earthquakes. If you remember, there was a magnitude 5 earthquake, 9 in Sığacık Bay. There was only damage to certain buildings here. But there was no loss of life. It happened in 1949. There are around Torbali in 1928. These are 6.6 magnitude earthquakes, the probability of a magnitude 6 earthquake seems to be pretty close again. If we talk about 6.5, they occur every 250 years. When we think of earthquakes greater than 7, it varies between 800 and 1000 years. Here too, when we think that the last earthquake took place in 1389, it was around 700 years. In the next 200 years there is the possibility of a magnitude 7 earthquake. .
