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Prof. Dr. Solomon Pampal in a statement, according to the geographical structure of Turkey, said that earthquakes lived for centuries. Recalling that there were earthquakes in various parts of the southern arm of the North Anatolian fault line in 1953, 1964, and 1999, Pampal declared that the fault line broke in the Marmara. Pampal stated that there was a seismic gap in the middle of the Marmara fault and that the gap has not yet been broken, and that the earthquake that will occur on the North Anatolia fault will be the first to leave Marmara.
Noting that this fault will cause a 7-7.5 and a half magnitude earthquake off Silivri, Pampal said: “This fault has been well defined with studies carried out under the sea. There is one more characteristic of this fault, it does not move at all. , it’s a blocked fault. “Too much energy is building up. So it won’t be a surprise to have an earthquake above 7 here. “
‘AN EARTHQUAKE IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS’
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Stating that there are statistical studies on the Istanbul earthquake, Prof. Pampal stated that within 30 years after the 1999 earthquake, the probability of a major earthquake was determined to be 60 to 65 percent. Pampal said: “It has been 21 years since 1999. This 65 percent probability increased to 70, 75 increased to 80. So we get closer. Of course, it is possible for the next 10 years, it may not be 10 years, it may exceed 10 years. But as I said, the first earthquake is expected in the West of Marmara, in the middle of the Sea of Marmara, “he said.
Noting that the only seismic gap in the North Anatolian fault line is not in the Middle Marmara, Pampal claimed that there is also a seismic gap in the Yedisu fault, which lies between Erzincan and the Karlıova district of Bingöl. . Stating that the earthquake that occurred in Karlıova a few months ago scared experts, Pampal emphasized that there were intact areas on the fault, especially towards Erzincan, and that this fault has the potential to cause earthquakes greater than 7.
‘THE SLEEPING GIANT WAKES UP’
Pampal recalled the Elazig-Sivrice earthquake and said:
“The earthquake that occurred between Elâzığ, Sivrice, Pötürge reminded us that the sleeping giant woke up. In case of a rupture in a fault system, the place of most intense danger is the other two extremes of the fault. What does this mean ? What does it mean? The part from Pütürge to Sincik, Gölbaşı It is just around the corner, say that the tear has started, this is in the mouth of the ball. It also means that it can cause a magnitude 6-6.5 earthquake in the Palu-Caspian segment that extends from Sivrice to Palu to the northeast.
‘ANKARA IS IN SERIOUS DANGER’
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In stating that the Tuz Gölü fault extends to Ankara Haymana, Pampal claimed that this fault poses a great risk to Ankara and the surrounding provinces. Pampal said: “Ankara is in grave danger. There is no earthquake in Ankara, the earthquake risk is believed to be low. In fact, we need to know that it is under extremely high risk of earthquakes and the risks are even higher.”
