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Could it get to the crossroads with the EU, where half of its exports take place, where cooperation is greatest in many areas, from student exchange to tourism?
This will be determined by the EU sanctions list, which will be released as a result of the leaders’ summit that will begin today and will last for two days.
Let me tell you that I don’t expect such a high penalty …
Looking at recent messages or statements from within the EU, a list of harsh conditional and time-based sanctions appears.
In other words, if the following is not done within this period, a list may come that the following penalties will apply.
I think the previous sanctions will be more personal.
Thus, this process is slightly exceeded, but clearly brings the post-stage deluge.
DO NOT IRGATE TOO MUCH
If a severe sanction decision comes, the response will show how it was yesterday, President of Turkey Erdogan net laid:
“H to TurkeyTurkey is equipped with the average too much of a sanction decision cannot enforce it. The EU has been imposing sanctions on us since 1963. The EU has never been honest. “
Sanctions are the subject of relations between Turkey and the EU will be re-1990 to return the not so obvious on the ground.
However, this development is likely to be the beginning of a new era in which all relations with the West will be redesigned.
YAPTIRIMLARI BİDEN MEETS THE TEAM
The reason is that in our conversation yesterday, one of the most influential names on the subject of the EU. Nilgun Arısan Eralp ‘As highlighted yesterday, the president-elect of the USA. Biden That the team is working with the EU on sanctions against Turkey.
Eralp, He drew attention to the possibility of imposing sanctions on some high-level seafarers or statesmen from the EU Leaders Summit, similar to what happened in February 2020:
“The EU will make a list, it seems; but probably ‘If you continue with these, I will apply them as sanctions in 2021’ would say. This can be a very heavy list. “
When I ask what can happen Eralp continues the Customs Union, but may introduce new taxes for some products; because Turkey is doing it ” said.
He cited Mexico as an example.
However, there is the EU Free Trade Agreement with Mexico that reminds Turkey of this agreement.
EU customs that receive goods from Mexico at zero, but between the Customs Agreement with Turkey, it should be noted that these goods enter duty free.
In Turkey, while the sales in Mexico it was recalled that the taxable person informed that they therefore apply customs duties.
He stressed that this is the most important problem in the EU.
REGIME FOR THE APPLICATION OF HUMAN RIGHTS
Stating it was a serious issue in last year’s EU Progress Report Eralp, He continued his words as follows:
“I understand that the Customs Union will not be suspended because it has a 9% advantage in the Turkish market. But the Customs Union can say to forget about its modernization. “
He added that the decision to restrict travel and freeze assets, if applicable, may fall to some ministers, as the United States once did.
He also drew attention to the EU’s Human Rights Sanctions Regime, which came to light on Monday.
He also said that some penalties were imposed on arrests and detention practices, and it was not decided how it would be implemented.
He pointed out the names of the detainees that were discussed in the last period in this regard, and also pointed out that in the scope of the new Regime, fines may come first and then some severe sanctions.
KEEP EXCHANGING STUDENTS
The possibility of a high-level dialogue meeting with the EU, which has not been held for almost a year and a half, is no longer seen.
This is a clear announcement that participation is a dream.
However, its ties to the EU, although Turkey does not intend to fully appear in the break, Eralp ‘As noted “The development of democracy in Turkey who want to cut the need to support the” he also keeps his gaze to the side.
Therefore, it does not foresee the closure of the student exchange.
It does not seem correct to apply an arms embargo to the NATO member, as requested by Greece.
Rather, views prevail that it would be more appropriate to impose personal sanctions.
CONTRIBUTION TO THE REFORM OF DEMOCRACY
In fact, Assoc. Dr. Serdar Componentesıyık He also stated that he does not expect a summit where difficult decisions are made.
“A prospective sanction decision can be made to see the democratic reform package, which is said to be addressed after the budget.” said.
Apparently, the package to be imposed with these sanctions is intended to use a pressure tool to take further steps towards greater democratization.
However, whatever happens, the EU is not holistic in this regard.
It should not be forgotten that decisions in the EU can also be made in partnership.