What happens if a coronavirus vaccine is not found? The worst case scenario!



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While the number of new types of coronavirus (Covid-19) cases in the world exceeds 3.5 million, the scientists’ studies continue without slowing down the epidemic that killed approximately 250,000 people.

According to the latest statement from the World Health Organization (WHO), 83 Covid-19 vaccines are being developed worldwide. While experiments on 8 possible vaccines in the US In the US, UK, China and Europe started in humans, it was announced that the vaccine developed by the University of Oxford could be distributed after the first results were obtained in June.

On the other hand, although vaccination studies around the world are promising, scientists have previously announced that developing a vaccine can take at least 12 to 18 months, and the world has faced vaccine results that have not been adequately tested. , several times in previous years.

However, there is currently no vaccine developed for the new type of coronavirus, and unfortunately there is a possibility that it cannot be developed.

COMMUNITIES MUST BE READY FOR A NEW AMOUNT

That is why societies need to learn to live with Covid-19.

According to CNN news, one of the situations that the world’s politicians rarely explain to the public about vaccination studies may not be the vaccine. But this possibility is taken very seriously by many scientists. Because today, many deadly diseases like AIDS, SARS, Lassa fever and MERS are not vaccinated.

Before relying on vaccination, experts say cities should be gradually opened up and testing and physical monitoring should be part of life. For this reason, cities will open slowly, but if a new wave of outbreaks arises, there will always be the possibility of reapplying quarantine measures at different scales.

Various treatments for Covid-19 can be developed, but the disease may recur every year. If the measures are not taken seriously enough, the death table can increase each year.

CALLED TO A SOCIETY AGREEMENT TO LIVE WITH VIRUSES

Professor David Nabarro, ambassador to the World Health Organization (WHO) and global health expert at Imperial College London, said: “There are still viruses that we have not been able to find the vaccine. We cannot make firm assumptions that it will become in a vaccine for Covid-19 or that will pass the efficacy and safety tests. It is vital that all societies adopt a position in which the crown is protected from the virus as a constant threat and that social life and economic activities can continue while we are inside the virus. “

“It is absolutely vital that we try to live with Covid-19, despite the possibility that the vaccine has not been developed,” Nabarro said for a new “social contract.”

However, some scientists are confident that a vaccine can be developed because the new type of corona virus does not mutate very quickly, unlike previous diseases like AIDS and malaria.

US National Director of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. USA Dr. Many, including Anthony Fauci, suggest that this can be from one year to 18 months. Other figures, such as UK medical director Chris Whitty, believe that the vaccine can be developed in a year.

“NO VACCINE BEFORE DEVELOPING IN 18 MONTHS”

But even if a vaccine is developed, it will be a success that has never been achieved before in any of these time frames.

Dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine, Baylor School of Medicine in the United States. “No vaccine has been developed in 18 months so far. I am very surprised if it is found. This does not mean that it is impossible, but it will be a very unusual success. That is why we need Plan A and Plan B,” said Peter Hotez.

Almost 40 years AIDS has no vaccine

In 1984, the US Secretary of Health and Human Services. The US, Margaret Heckler, explained at a press conference in Washington that scientists successfully identified a virus that would later be advertised as HIV, and said a preventive vaccine was ready for testing.

After almost forty years and 32 million deaths, the world is still waiting for an AIDS vaccine.

HERD IMMUNITY NOT REALISTIC

Offit, one of those who developed the rat virus vaccine, noted the importance of providing such rat immunity with the vaccine, not the infection itself, in discussions of herd donation. Claiming that the effects of Covid-19 are severe even when most of society is not sick, Offit said: “Measles is an excellent example. Before vaccines became widespread, 2 to 3 million people a year were infected with this disease. This situation is also experienced in Covid-19 ”.

On the other hand, there are other diseases that scientists cannot solve the mystery. According to the WHO, an effective dengue vaccine, which infects 400,000 people a year, has not been found for decades. In 2017, the study of a vaccine was discontinued after it was found to worsen symptoms of the disease. Similarly, it seems very difficult to develop vaccines, for rhinoviruses and adenoviruses, for species that can cause cold symptoms, such as coronaviruses. There is only one vaccine to prevent two adenovirus diseases and it is not commercially available.

CARANTINE APPLICATIONS ARE NOT SUSTAINABLE AS ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL

“We have high hopes and their hopes are intermittent,” explains WHO Ambassador Nabarro: “We are dealing with biological systems, not mechanical systems. It really depends on how the body reacts.”

On the other hand, if a vaccine cannot be produced, life will not remain as it is now. It may not return to normal very quickly. “Quarantine practices are not economically and possibly politically sustainable,” says Dr. Neal. So we need other things to control the virus. “

WORKING AT HOME WILL BE NEW NORMAL

One way is to work from home becomes the new normal. In the cloud scenario, remote work will become a standard especially for white collar people. People with illnesses like the flu / flu will never go to work and the offices will not be crowded.

SOURCE: NTV



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