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Relations between Kiev and Moscow have been at the lowest level since 2014, when conflicts in Ukraine escalated. The OSCE delegation in Ukraine recently reported more than 13,000 deaths and hundreds of violations of the ceasefire in Donetsk and Lugansk, the conflict zones in the east of the country, since April 2014. In the aforementioned process, they were taking conducted negotiations between Ukraine and Russia under the Normandy format, which also included France and Germany. Putin and Zelensky had also met here in 2016.
The demands of both parties are almost diametrically opposed in terms of resuming a possible dialogue within the framework of the information that I have obtained from Foreign Relations sources. In such a climate, it seems almost impossible to reach a final solution on the table. In fact, when there is a trade request, we must first analyze it.
While Ukraine presents demands and assessments based on territorial integrity, Russia shows that it will not open them to discussion. Another limitation is Putin’s experience in diplomacy and his use of his energy card as a lever. However, other affected countries are approaching the issue with caution.
Furthermore, the United States’ interpretation of the process in Ukraine in terms of Russia’s geopolitical power may squeeze the partial steps that can be taken on the ground into a more strategic picture.
In general, Russia demands an amnesty in the Donbas area, the establishment of autonomous regions and the continuation of Russian military power on its border. Ukraine objects, knowing that this will lead to an illegal annexation similar to Crimea. If we remember what happened in Crimea, it is quite possible that this will happen. Furthermore, if Russian troops do not withdraw from the border, it is impossible for Ukraine to eliminate instability.
Ukraine here calls the de facto situation “temporary occupation”. Consequently, among the claims of the Ukrainian General Staff that approximately 35,500 combat units operating with the support of Russian regular units have settled in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and that new reinforcements are only a matter of time.
Another problem in restoring the field of dialogue is, of course, the illegal annexation of Crimea … “We do not recognize the illegal annexation of Crimea and we support the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine,” the EU said last week. he said. Compulsory military service in Crimea was also claimed to be a violation of international humanitarian law. We can say that the Crimean Tatars are the most affected by this process.
On the other hand, Ukraine has started to pursue an increasingly active foreign policy on Crimea over the past 6 months. Representatives from more than 100 countries are scheduled to meet in Kiev in the summer at the Crimean Platform. One of these countries has also not made an official statement yet, it will be Turkey. Because Turkey does not recognize the illegal annexation of Crimea.
The deployment is subject to another article in itself, but as a whole, such a military power of Russia in the Black Sea is closely related to Turkey in the first place. If cooperation with Russia needs to be taken into account in terms of both areas, opposition to Turkey’s security can also create a serious flaw.
