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“If Armenia develops in a positive direction in this process, we also open our doors to Armenia, which is closed … it also turned a new page in Turkey-Armenia relations.”
Exactly one month after the ceasefire agreement signed between Azerbaijan and Armenia on November 9, the first positive message came from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to open the borders closed for 27 years.
In 1991, when Armenia declared its independence from the Soviet Union, Turkey was the first country to recognize independent republics.
Only two years later, the Armenian occupation of the Azerbaijani territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, which together with Turkey closed its border with Armenia, which declared independence with open arms. He suspended diplomatic relations.
It accelerated the withdrawal of the Armenian soldiers from Nagorno-Karabakh as the only condition for the normalization of relations.
Although there were some rapprochement efforts between Yerevan and Ankara while the occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh continued, Azerbaijan’s reaction and mutual disagreement with the desired concessions always blocked the process.
In the occupied zone, the last, which has not been reconciled at the negotiating table for 27 years, came with the war.
As a result of the fighting that began on September 27, Armenia accepted defeat on November 9. Nagorno-Karabakh withdrew from seven scratches around it, and in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia began working as a peacekeeping force.
A month after the end of the occupation, President Erdogan went to Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, and attended the “Victory Parade”.
On the way back, Erdogan first pointed out that the doors would reopen with Armenia; He said that both Azerbaijani leader Ilham Aliyev and Russia, the mediator of the ceasefire agreement, also viewed it positively:
“Mr. Putin approaches this in a positive way. In the telephone conversation between us, he asked what my opinion would be. I said,” After Mr. Ilham Aliyev approached this in a positive way, it is important for me to address it in a positive way. “Putin was also very satisfied with this. He said, ‘Whatever you say, I’ll follow.’ That’s how we agreed.”
So how will it be possible to reopen the doors? What are the conditions in Turkey?
‘FIRST, THE PROVISIONS SIGNED ON NOVEMBER 9TH MUST BE APPLIED.’
The Turkish diplomatic official said that for this, the conditions of the ceasefire must be fully met:
“As we have said for a long time, a normalization of relations between Azerbaijan and Armenia will positively affect the stability of our region.
“To do this, first of all, the provisions of the Joint Declaration signed between Azerbaijan, the Russian Federation and Armenia on November 9 must be fully implemented.”
The Foreign Ministry official says that “Armenia has formed the missing link of its own choosing” in regional cooperation:
“As we say Essentially for a long time, Azerbaijan and the improvement of relations between Armenia, Turkey and Armenia will be reflected in the relations. Armenia is really the extent to which it acts as a partner in peace, they will see money from us. In that case the limits are opened, the introduction of normal relationships begins “.
‘WE DO NOT LOOK AT THE GIVEN MESSAGES, WE LOOK AT THE FACTS’
On the other hand, Armenia has not yet given a clear response to the messages about the opening of doors.
At the beginning, President Erdogan and we ask them to respond to the message given from Turkey, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Armenia, Anna Naghdaly, that in writing, instead of giving a direct positive or negative answer to the question in the answer , the message “is not the message, we’ll see what to do,” said:
“We are not the message that comes from Turkey, we will act according to what is done. Nagorno-Karabakh was quite clear what the Turkish authorities do during the 44-day attack to the public. Turkey, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was used to promote expansionist policy in the South Caucasus. Turkey’s management ‘Armenian Genocide’ and supports the same policy of genocide of Azerbaijan against the people of Nagorno-Karabakh. These facts cannot be ignored by some messages. “
However, a member of parliament, responding to journalists’ questions in the Armenian Parliament, gave the message that Turkey can be renegotiated for the opening of the door; It is said that he received a great reaction about it.
‘THERE IS A NEED FOR ECONOMIC BENEFITS BUT THE TIMING IS WRONG’
Journalist Mark Grigoryan, who lives in Yerevan, the capital of Armenia, stated that, in light of all these developments, opening the border gates with your neighbors is actually the most practical solution for the recovery of the Armenian economy; However, he says, after the great defeat in Nagorno-Karabakh, it is too early to talk about this:
“The main problem first of all here, the confidence of the current government of the people is incredibly low. So now the government has faced negatively, which by step. If you talk about the normalization of the current authorized relations with Turkey, that is perceived as a new war defeat “.
“Armenia clearly needs more income. The easiest way is to trade with the neighbors. But more than one new war has been lost. There is a national tragedy, a sense of serious loss. So people need a little more time. Everybody needs this, but now is not a good time for Armenians. “
‘THE ARMENIAN PEOPLES OF AZERBAIJAN AND TURKEY distrust SERIOUS SIZE‘
Grigoryan says that in the winter and spring months, the economy will deteriorate with the effect of war and people will start to feel these conditions even more. Only then does the opening of the border gates depend on the public “feeling safe”:
“The opening of borders is a very important issue, but now the real problem, the public is experiencing serious concerns about national security. This is the current first item on the agenda. Extreme mistrust towards Azerbaijan and Turkey high. Re-assure trust. it will be very difficult, but this is provided not As soon as you are sure that your safety is guaranteed, the Armenians will be happy to open the doors. “
According to Grigoryan, this time the concerns of the Armenian people impede the normalization that Azerbaijan had previously prevented:
“Whenever there was talk of opening the doors between Yerevan and Ankara, despite the discussions about the events of 1915, if a positive step was taken, Azerbaijan applied the opposite pressure. Now Azerbaijan is ready, but Armenia faces a very humiliating defeat. This time it is preventing Armenia. “
As the fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh continued, the Armenian parliament made the decision to boycott Turkish products for the first six months of 2021. Recalling this decision, Grigoryan says: “It is very difficult to open the doors, at least in this period, to be on the agenda here. “
