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The Nagorno-Karabakh crisis between Azerbaijan and Armenia ended with the Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan admitting defeat. By signing a joint declaration under the mediation of Russia, it was decided to establish a peacekeeping force in the Nagorno-Karabakh and Lachin corridor. The peacekeeping personnel, consisting of 1,960 soldiers, 90 armored personnel carriers, 380 vehicles and special equipment, will patrol the corridor where the Russian troops will be stationed.
These events in the region are also on the agenda of the international press. The Reuters news agency included an analysis of what happened in Nagorno-Karabakh. “PutinThe Karabakh deal with Erdogan drew a red line on Russia’s southern flank “in the analysis, as seen in the backyard of the Compromise. Putin’s presence hampered the strengthening of Turkey’s role as the mediator’s comment was made.
MOSCOW UNTIL THE TEST
In the continuation of the analysis, the following determinations are made:
Six weeks of intense fighting between Azerbaijani and ethnic Armenian forces tested Moscow’s influence in the southern Caucasus, formerly part of the Soviet Union. Moscow considers this area crucial to defend its southern flank.
He realized his 20 year dream
Three previous ceasefire attempts, at least one of which was mediated by Moscow, had failed. Ultimately, however, Putin realized his dream of deploying a peacekeeping force in Nagorno-Karabakh, which Russia has been dreaming of for at least 20 years. The peacekeeping force will remain in the region for at least five years and may be renewed again. Therefore, Putin excluded Turkish troops who will be at the ceasefire observation center outside of their region for now.
This increases Russia’s military influence, significantly ending the geopolitical rivalry between Moscow and Ankara in the region. A similar rivalry continues between the two countries of Syria and Libya.
‘BEST RESULT IN THE SHORT TERM’
Putin agreed with this fact, the fall of the Armenian forces of Nagorno-Karabakh by saying that Turkey a few days earlier was prevented from passing to the full control of the supported Azeris. In addition, the influence of Turkey in the region that signed the agreement mediated by Russia has been confirmed.
“This agreement targets Russia’s main interests in the conflict in many ways, and is probably the best Moscow can achieve, at least in the short term,” said Alexander Gabuev of the Carnegie Moscow Center for studies. Russia deployed 2,000 peacekeepers to Nagorno-Karabakh. This is something that Moscow has wanted to do since 1994, but has not been able to do it. “Turkish peacekeepers will not be soldiers, which is very important to Moscow.”
SECONDARY ROLE Turkey
Eurasia Group, acting as political risk advisor, stated that President Erdogan would probably not be very disappointed with the course of events.
The Eurasia Group research note, “Turkey continues its role, but this is clearly a secondary role compared to Russia. Erdogan probably has no problem with this. His military support for Azerbaijan, while creating a big difference if the Turkey’s house was not very expensive and the Ankara nationalists would provide a profit and to gain some advantage against Russia. “
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