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A new crisis in US politics is at the door
While Democratic candidate Biden is leading the U.S. presidential election, the balances may shift due to different procedures in the U.S. electoral system and Trump’s objections.
Although the US presidential election yesterday announced the declaration of victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden announced that he won in the critical states that will determine the electoral result, it will reach 270 delegates, but has not yet reached a result.
It was evident from President Donald Trump’s remarks months ago that the November 3 election would remain uncertain for a time. So far, Biden has reached 264 and Donald Trump has reached 214 delegates. Although Democratic candidate Biden is ahead, it is also possible that the balances will shift due to different procedures in the American electoral system and Trump’s objections. President Trump’s phone calls to Republican governors, his call for a recount for Wisconsin, and the prospect of bringing election results to the Supreme Court in some states, such as Arizona and Michigan, further strengthen the possibility that the results go on for a while.
National polls, media and election results
Joe Biden leads the vote count by 50.4 percent so far, and the list of states he won is as follows: Washington DC, Arizona, Vermont, Massachusetts, Delaware, Maryland, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Colorado, Connecticut , New Mexico, California. , Oregon, New Hampshire, Virginia, Rhode Island, Minnesota, Hawaii, Maine, Michigan, Wisconsin. The Republican candidate Donald Trump is Kentucky, Indiana, Oklahoma, Alabama, Arkansas, South Dakota, South Carolina, Nebraska, Tennessee, Missouri, West Virginia, Utah, Wyoming, North Dakota, Kansas, Ohio, Idaho, Louisiana, Mississippi , Texas, Montana. He won in Iowa, Florida. Additionally, it was announced that Biden was slightly ahead of Trump in 75 percent of open votes in the state of Nevada, while Trump claimed to be ahead in Pennsylvania.
But in national polls leading up to the election, Biden was at least seven or eight points ahead of Trump. This points to an electorate that is not visible in national polls.
One reason for this is that voters who voted for President Trump are under psychological pressure from their inner circle and fall into the category of “timid voter” or, in other words, “silent majority.” Another reason presented on the subject is the allegation of perception management in the main media and national surveys. While the media, which have opposed Trump since 2016, are thought to have lost their objectivity, there are allegations that perception management has been done through polls.
Democrat Biden, who reinforces his belief that he will win the election with overwhelming superiority, with the strong support of former President Obama and the mainstream media, is believed to increase Trump’s votes due to the limited election campaign.
President Donald Trump, who perceived himself defeated in the US elections for his policies criticized by the epidemic and the new type of coronavirus (Kovid-19), held three or four rallies a day, even in regions where Republican supporters were strong, immediately after his recovery, thus allowing resentful Republicans to go to the polls.
The Republican votes announced so far are higher than expected and Trump is believed to have achieved unexpected success even if Biden won. Another detail is the erroneous conception of the national polls carried out before the elections and the criticism from the mainstream media, the fact that the polls carried out based on states have obtained results closer to the electoral results.
Therefore, it is said that this may be due to the size of the country, the complexity of the procedures of the American electoral system and the different rules of the census that vary between states.
