American election results: which of the remaining states should Trump and Biden win to be elected president?



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  • Anthony Zurcher
  • North America Correspondent

A day has passed since the US presidential election was completed, but the winner is still unclear.

In the United States this year there are more than 160 million games, played by mail or in person.

President Donald Trump declared his victory last night while the counting process was underway and there were no concrete results that he was ahead. He also accused his opponent of electoral irregularity.

A series of messages sent by Trump have been influenced in deceptive and controversial ways by Twitter.

There is no evidence to support Trump’s claims that the votes were stolen. The count of millions of games that have been played according to the rules continues.

He recently won in Biden, Michigan, according to BBC estimates. He is expected to win in Wisconsin, another critical state in American media news.

Once the results here are clear, the eyes will turn to the results for Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.

According to the BBC’s calculations, the number of Biden’s delegates to the Electoral College is currently 243. The magic number needed for Trump to win the 214th Presidency is 270.

In what scenarios will President Biden or Trump be elected?

Scenarios to beat Biden

In essence, Biden’s victory in Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin, where he led the race, will open the doors of the White House.

When it takes all three states, it reaches 270 delegates.

In the scrutiny process, which began behind Biden in Michigan, with the opening of votes sent by mail from the city of Detroit, known as the stronghold of the Democrats, he came to the fore and joined the expected states. win with calculations made at night.

In his neighbor, Wisconsin, the trend was in favor of Biden from the beginning. Republicans are expected to demand a recount in this state.

As mail-in votes are counted in Arizona, Biden widens the gap.

In Nevada, the difference between the two candidates is several thousand. However, the counting of the votes cast on Election Day, predominantly Republican, was completed and the mail-in votes considered preferred by Biden supporters were maintained.

Given the current outlook, the path ahead for Biden looks slightly less troubled compared to Trump.

Scenarios to win Trump

Likewise, Trump must keep the states he currently leads in the census. These states are listed as Georgia and Pennsylvania.

In addition to these two states, Trump must take at least one of the states where Biden is currently ahead to win.

Race goes head-to-head in Nevada. Trump needs a small number of votes to turn this state into himself. If the votes cast on election day but achieved after the election are in your favor, the president’s hopes of reelection may increase.

Arizona is another state likely to return to Trump. As in Nevada, there is a tally of votes cast by mail. Voting by mail is more common in this state, and Democrats don’t seem to have a clear advantage in this area. Although the difference between the two candidates in Arizona is much greater than in Nevada, a greater change in results is expected as the count is taken.

Wisconsin is definitely going in a direction the president doesn’t want. Although the Trump wing is hopeful about this state, the numbers are not enough to support this hope.

Biden’s backup plan

For Trump to continue his presidency, he must maintain his rule in Pennsylvania and Georgia. However, the latest situation in these states makes it difficult for you to breathe a sigh of relief. In Georgia, the majority of votes expected to be completed are votes cast in areas known as Democratic strongholds around Atlanta.

More than 1 million published votes are waiting to be counted in Pennsylvania. Although the gap is quite high in Trump’s favor, trends that bring the pointer back to Biden in Wisconsin and Michigan can also manifest here.

If Biden wins Pennsylvania, he will still be elected president, even if he loses both Arizona and Nevada. Biden can still become president if the Democrats take Georgia and win Arizona or Nevada. If you lose both states in this scenario, then both candidates in the Electoral College have 269 delegates and the president elects the House of Representatives.

In short, the formulas that will transfer Biden to the White House, unlike Trump, are increasingly varied.

Work seems to go to court

No matter how the elections turn out, the nightmare scenario seems to be happening.

Consequently, with the prospect of Biden winning on the horizon, Trump’s allegations of electoral irregularity and no evidence to prove it.

At the same time, this is an equation that will increase tension and start a long legal fight.

The Trump campaign has already challenged the census for various reasons in Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia.

While the final results are expected to take time to become clear, election night also showed just how polarized the United States has become. It has been observed that voters are not trying to get rid of Trump or are not giving great support to what he is doing.

On the contrary, it turns out that the lines are becoming more frequent, and this political struggle seems to go beyond the elections.

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