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Prof. Dr. Naci Görür made important warnings about the expected Istanbul earthquake on Haber Global TV.
Prof. Dr. The highlights of Görür’s comments are as follows;
The places that are the most dangerous in terms of geology and terrain once are on the European side and the first 10 km of the coast from the Golden Horn to Silivri on the European side are the riskiest places. Why are the riskiest places? Because of the geological features here. Especially the rocks that we call tertiary, which are not well cemented, soft, dirty, sandy, rocks with water level are not ground. Not hard rocks. They are rotten lands, in the language of the people, which can cause landslides in a strong earthquake. These rotten soils increase the earthquake many times over. If we call the earthquake effect x, it could be 5x, 10x here. This floor magnifies the effect.
When a fault breaks in an earthquake, it releases some of its energy. Send your energy to another area. We say be careful here.
If they are going to carry out preparatory work in this area, which is at risk to local governments, especially not on a public scale, they should do so as soon as possible. We say mitigation measures must be taken.
We said ‘Istanbul is waiting for a big earthquake’. After 99, it charged energy in the crust below Marmara. This shell cannot handle this energy.
There has been a serious 17-inch problem for 21 years. If we expect a magnitude 7 earthquake, the corresponding energy is equivalent to the energy of more than 1,800 tons of explosives at the same time.
POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE 64 PERCENT
There is a publication from 2000 where all historical earthquakes were studied. And a reputable station. As a result of these studies, the probability of more than 7 earthquakes in Istanbul after 99 is 64 percent.
Earth surveys, hazard maps and earthquakes were produced in the coastal parts from the Anatolian side to the Istanbul side. Where risks such as loss of life and property were measured, fires were measured. Without them, today we could not very precisely explain the damage of Istanbul.
We have worked independently in states and municipalities such as Istanbul Technical University. Although the Sea of Marmara was an unknown sea, we investigated the dangers of the Istanbul earthquake with the support of experts from various countries and from NATO.
The state did not help us a penny. Everything that is known about the earthquake has emerged from our research.
