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Two weeks until the presidential elections in the United States. Opinion polls indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic Party candidate, is leading the race across the country.
However, under the US electoral system, getting more votes across the country is not enough to win the election.
In the two-tier system implemented in the US, the Selection Committee with 538 delegates sent by the states determines the president. In this meeting, each state has delegates according to its population.
Therefore, a candidate must win the election in the states that represent 270 delegates on the Selection Committee to be elected president. Most states are known as the stronghold of a particular party, and the party they voted for in presidential elections generally does not change.
However, few states prefer different candidates in elections, depending on the candidate, their policies, or the current agenda. The main fight is to persuade the voters in these critical states.
In the 2016 election, President Donald Trump won about 3 million fewer votes nationwide than his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, but was elected president in states with enough delegates.
So which states played a pivotal role in the 2020 elections? What’s the latest around here?
Wisconsin
Trump won this state, albeit by a small margin, by providing a huge surprise in 2016. Support from rural white women and the working class across the state played a large role in Trump’s victory.
However, the same group of voters also helped elect a Democratic Party governor to head the state in 2018.
Recent opinion polls show Biden leading the race in this state with 10 delegates.
The trade policies that Trump implemented negatively affected the exports of dairy farms in this state, causing prices to fall and the closure of some facilities.
Another development that is expected to affect the attitude of voters in the state is the increase in tensions between elections. Large protests took place across the state after police shot a black man in the city of Kenosha. Republicans argue that winning over Democrats will further increase violence and chaos.
Arizona
It is one of the states where Trump won in 2016. Trump, who generally won over Republican Party candidates, was only able to win by 4 percent. Opinion polls conducted this year show that the pointer points to Biden.
In Arizona, which has 11 delegates, the population of Latin American origin and the urban upper-middle class is growing steadily. Both districts predominantly prefer Democrats. It is also among the states hardest hit by the coronavirus epidemic. A significant number of voters think Trump has mishandled the crisis.
However, it is claimed that Trump’s immigration policies, such as the construction of a wall on the Mexican border to prevent irregular crossings and make it difficult to obtain work visas for foreigners, may allow him to obtain votes from some segments.
North Carolina
It was one of the darkest Republican states in the country until Barack Obama’s victory in 2008. These results also revealed that the province that sent 15 delegates was no longer the stronghold of the Republican Party.
This year, both Biden and Trump are trying to impress voters by running serious publicity campaigns across the state. Polls show Biden is ahead.
North Carolina is the first state in which voting by mail began, and the number of requests for vote-by-mail has reached a record high to date. More than half of those who made this demand are members of the Democratic Party.
If the votes cast by mail change the bottom line, it can result in an outcome that Trump doesn’t want.
Michigan
In 2016, Trump won this 16-delegate state by just 0.3 percent. A working-class state, which traditionally voted for the Democratic Party, broke a 28-year tradition by electing Trump, who promised to implement trade policies that would revive the manufacturing sector.
Joe Biden, whose father is a car dealer, has a deep connection to Detroit, the heart of the state’s auto industry. Biden visited this state frequently during his tenure as vice president.
Even the province’s beloved governor, Gretchen Whitmer, was among the names considered for Biden’s vice president for a period.
Biden is seen as a strong and moderate candidate, and Michigan generally prefers names in this profile.
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania, with 20 delegates, is a state that traditionally votes for the Democratic candidate. But four years ago, Trump won here, especially with the votes of those who live in the west of the state.
Behind this victory hides the discontent of the promises of the Democrats to the energy sector, the most important economic activity, especially in the western part of the state.
In his election campaign, Trump vowed to protect the state against planned reforms by Democrats in the shale gas industry and coal mining.
However, how much Trump has delivered on this promise is another matter. Since the coronavirus epidemic began, the unemployment rate has risen to double digits.
Biden, for his part, is a politician born in the city of Scranton, east of Pennsylvania, in this state. It is well known and known throughout the state.
Florida
Florida is a state where the electoral race is always very close. Although this is a place where Donald Trump often visits and stays, Trump only narrowly won the place in 2016.
Florida has 26 delegates and does not have a particular party stronghold, making it one of the most critical states. Another characteristic of this place is that the candidate who won this state since 1964 also won the presidential elections.
It is very difficult to predict the outcomes of this critical state, as its demographic structure includes many different groups and is constantly variable.
There is a dense population of immigrants of Latin American origin in the state, and this group is generally located close to the Republican Party. However, these voters often live in parts of the state that support the Democratic Party.
There are also a large number of people who retire in Florida after living in other states. Among this group, the participation rate is quite high.
While the number of young voters who tend to vote for the Democratic Party is increasing, it appears that voters who live in rural areas of the state have begun to distance themselves from the Republican Party.
Georgia
Georgia has supported the Republican presidential candidate in every election but two since 1960. Still, Biden is hopeful of winning this state with 16 delegates this year.
Opinion polls on race-related issues show that Biden’s policies garner much more support here than Trump’s.
This year, in some parts of Georgia, especially young people held demonstrations in support of the Black Lives Matter protests.
But Trump describes himself as the candidate who will bring “order and peace.” This rhetoric is also reflected in the white conservative voter who sets the political course of the state.
As in many other venues, participation is expected to play an important role in determining the winning candidate.