WASHINGTON (AP) – Reality star and businessman Donald Trump, who has observed political gravity since his extraordinary rise to the presidency, is back on the ground.
In the end, the euphoria of its succulent rallies, its unprecedented turnout, and the sheer force of will, its U.S. More than 236,000 people have been killed and millions have been laid off.
Yet, Trump’s branded brand of politics – his Twitter tunes, his haphazard drive to punish enemies, his lonely approach to the world – and his identity outside of government and beyond. And his expected election performance against Democrat B Biden suggests that its impact could spill over into generations in politics, governance and policy, even in defeat.
It remains to be seen what Trump will do after his term ends on January 20. Retreat to the golf course? Start its own television network? Laid the foundation to run again? And how intensely will he try to fight his future?
“I fully expect the President to be involved in politics. “I will put him entirely on the shortlist of people who are likely to participate in 2024,” said Mick Mulwane, Trump’s former chief of staff, in an online interview with the Institute for International and European Affairs. “He doesn’t like to lose.”
Trump has retained the megaphone of his Twitter account, the Fox News platform and the erratic backing of his loyal base of supporters, who will not be able to accept his defeat even after months, there is no way he could legally lose and even make false claims. Premature victory.
On Saturday, Trump refused to accept President-elect Biden, instead promising indefinite legal challenges to try to reverse the outcome of the race.
Until a successor emerges to lead the Republicans – probably not until the resolution of the 24 2024 Republican primary – Trump remains the main head of a party that has reshaped his image.
“Even in the defeat, Donald Trump has exceeded expectations and helped other Republicans do the same,” said G.O.P., who works on Capitol Hill and for campaigns. Said adviser Michael Steele. “It will be a powerful force in the party.”
Still, Trump’s loss is likely to start the party counting on how much of Trumpism should go ahead, especially given that Republicans can retain control of the Senate and win extra seats in the House.
If Biden had won the blow, he would have “blown the wind behind a lot of Republicans who said character counts and the Republican Party should never trust a man who pushed the boundaries chosen by Dominald Trump,” the former White House press secretary said. Former President George W. Bush Ari Fleischer, who served under Bush’s presidency.
But as he got closer, he predicted that the party would likely be “wrapped up in a split between” inside and outside, between the establishment and Trump supporters who blame the establishment. “And soon the former president’s role would be a big question mark because That if he decides to remain active despite the immediate damage, he remains powerful and effective, especially for Republicans. “
Meanwhile, it is unclear whether Trump will accept the election results or spend the next three months as lame duck president, as he will continue to fight.
People who know him well say that he has very little chance that he will go away peacefully at night.
“When Donald Trump loses, there will never be a peaceful transition to power,” said Michael Cohen, Trump’s longtime lawyer and fixer-to-critic. He predicted that Trump would do everything in his power to claim that the election was “stolen from him” by Democrats or other forces, as Trump tried to sow discord as the vote was being counted.
Cohen said Trump was probably also aware that after losing the presidency he would be “littered with lawsuits like both federal and state.” Trump is already facing lawsuits accusing him of sexual assault and defamation, and his Trump organization’s finances are being investigated by the New York Attorney General.
Longtime Trump aide Barbara Reese, who recently wrote a book about her experience working with him, speculated that President Biden would leave the country before the inauguration and possibly pursue his own media empire.
“He can put whatever he wants. He could say whatever he wanted. It’s almost like Twitter explodes, “he said.
Speaking of the Republican future, Steele said the party is likely to focus on leaders who combine elements of Trump’s populist agenda with policies that appeal to the wider health of voters.
He said the challenge is to identify the popular, sustainable and practical parts of his agenda and marry them with policies and arguments that appeal to broader voters that the party will need to win at the national level in the future.
Under Trump, the Republican Party fully embraced the populist tide set in motion by Tea Party rebels in previous years, shifting its focus from free trade and trickle-down economics to trade war and isolated foreign policy.
His emergence shattered a new path to the presidency, driven more by the force of personality than by policy, which echoed the loss of electoral college votes. His innate message and the onslaught of “culture wars” proved the power of divisive politics and accelerated the political renaissance of the pay generation.
While he sings further his reach with white rural and working class voters with economic and racial grievances. When made, he shut down educated voters of college colleges in cities and suburbs with some of his harsh rhetoric and endless tweets.
Still, many Republicans believe he could win re-election if it was for the coronavirus epidemic and if there was no widespread belief among voters that he had blown it up wrongly.
Some of the top G.O.P. Leaders believe the so-called “never-trumpers” may celebrate the president’s defeat, but Republicans will be able to refute them outright, given how their approaches to trade, immigration and foreign policy resonate with voters. He came up with another win.
It is also unclear whether those who have joined the party because of Trump will be engaged after they are no longer on the ticket.
The race for the 2024 Republican nomination has begun peacefully behind the scenes. Maryland Govt. From moderators like Larry Hogan to Arkansas Sen. Tom Cutton Ton and the former South Carolina Governorate. Many candidates like former Trump officials like Nikki Haley are testing the water. Donald Trump Jr., Trump’s eldest son, has become a special favorite with loyal supporters of the president in the wake of the campaign, meaning Trump can bear the name.
Fleischer said the party probably. Looking for someone with an outsider’s voice who will avoid going at the same time “forcing your tweets to lead people to you.”
Many Trump supporters see his influence as ongoing.
“We’re continuing to do something for the people who started it,” said Chris Huckley, 56, as he watched the crowd of thousands at a recent Trump rally in Pennsylvania.
Indeed, since Trump traveled the country, his campaign has inspired a new generation of supporters who are organizing their own events outside the framework of the campaign.
It includes “Loud Majority Long Island”, leading to thousands of car parades in New York, a state that is heavily democratic.
Matt Worley, who joined members of the allied group at the recent Trump rally, said that even if Trump loses, the group will include New York City mayors Bill de Blasio and Gov. Rew wants to continue his efforts, focusing on local politicians, including Andrew Cuomo.
“We want to expel Cuomo, of course,” he said. “It simply came to our notice then. We will try to plan. ”
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