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The “new wave” or “second wave” of the COVID-19 epidemic has created widespread fear. Both economic dimensions Politics – Security and Society
Security Experts: Political Guru “Decided” In Same Direction As In 2021, Gen Prayuth Government Faced A New Wave Of COVID-19 For At Least Three To Six Months Before The “COVID-19 Vaccine” Was Released . ”The first dose will be injected into Thais.
General Prayut Chan-ocha’s solution, as COVID-19 Situation Management Center (SBC) leader-director, appears to still be “fist drunk” because “it is not captured correctly in the end.” On the cause of the COVID-12 outbreak “second round”
During the New Year season, the danger was most dangerous for 4 days, more than half of the country’s starburst.
Address COVID-19 “new round” calls – protest “Second round lockout” because both are confident – not sure “hurts but over” after people come back from New Years season wait make the story of the “blockade” clearer.
I cannot deny that From the government of General Prayut Declare a state of emergency throughout the kingdom: close the country From March 25, 2020, from March 26, 2020 onwards, the power of announcement has been expanded . The Emergency Decree has been 8 times.
And pretending to announce the “renewal” of the Emergency Decree as a “ninth time” after the expiration of January 15, 2021. In general, Thais have “costs” to pay for their stay with “Emergency Decree” for 9 months. and 21 days
While Gen Prayut’s government has “expenses” that should heal the economy, the people Spend below budget Left pocket – right pocket Both of the money in the budget – money out of the budget
As Deputy Prime Minister “Supataphong Phan Meechao” Economic – Minister of Energy Morning and evening to economic remedial measures 3 months after the COVID-19 outbreak A total of more than 800 billion baht
As follows
1. Projects to help, remedy and compensate people who have been affected by the coronavirus outbreak The program “We are not going together” or “Compensation measures” of the Ministry of Finance is for employees of companies affected by COVID-19 or other affected people, such as the self-employed. 5,000 baht per month for a period of 3 months (April – June 2020)
There is a framework to use on the 240 billion baht project, consisting of a 70 billion baht budget and a 170 billion baht loan, which can accommodate up to 16 million people who meet the criteria.
2. A project to help, cure and compensate 10 million farmers (Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives), every 5,000 baht per person, 3 months (May – July 2020), source of money from the Royal Decree, with a loan of 150 billion baht.
3. Repair projects for government welfare card holders who did not receive any government assistance from any government program during the COVID-19 epidemic in the amount of 1,000 baht for 3 months (May-July), no more than 1,164,222. The source of money from the Loan Law. 3,492,666,000 baht
4. A remedy for children, the elderly, the disabled (vulnerable groups) who are socially affected by the COVID-19 epidemic. (Ministry of Social Development and Human Security) 6,781,881 people made up of
(1) 1,394,756 children who receive subsidies for the care of newborns, (2) 4,056,596 elderly people who receive a subsistence subsidy and (3) 1,330,529 people with disabilities with a disability card.
By providing additional resources from the above monthly subsidy, 1,000 baht per month over a 3-month period (May – July 2020) of the 20,345,643,000 baht Loan Decree budget
4. The “half person” project, phase 1-2, each 3,500 baht per person, 15 million baht, the loan amount is 52.5 billion baht (first phase 30 billion baht, second phase 22.5 billion baht)
5. “Shop Dee Me Back” tax deduction up to 30,000 baht 6. Project to increase the purchasing power of holders of the state welfare card Phase 1-2 (October 2020 – March 2021) amount 13,948,518, each person 500 baht for 3 months. Total loan 41.535 million baht (first phase 20.922 million baht, second phase 20.613 million baht), 7 projects, we traveled together, the amount of 20,000 million baht, and 9. Project Cheer 2,400 million baht.
The last five measures affect the economy, 3 rebounds, including increased purchasing power, the first rebound, increase purchasing power, the second rebound, increase the money in the operator’s wallet, and the third rebound to stimulate tourism.
If asked about “money in your pocket”, the Director of the Budget Office-Dechapiwat Na Songkhla said that if the situation of the COVID-19 epidemic is assessed “Worse” or a large number of infected There is enough money to remedy, or about 2 to 300 billion baht, combined with the average budget and the central budget of the emergency, a total of about 400 billion baht.
“I have to see the COVID-19 epidemic. How much is this impact now? If the lock is not long We still have 400 billion baht of money for remediation and 40 billion baht in the mid-year budget that has not been used, including an emergency and necessity budget, another 99 billion baht or about 1.4 billion baht, don’t worry, it should be enough If in another month the situation will improve. We may not have to use “
Since the COVID-19 outbreak Prayut general government Break the jar – sweep the emergency money to run – fight – fight Both money inside and outside the budget Office of the National Council for Economic and Social Development They have reported as follows
1. The Royal Decree attributes to the Ministry of Finance the power to borrow money to solve problems, heal and rehabilitate the economy and society. Affected by the 2019, 2020 coronavirus outbreak, the total amount is not more than 1 trillion baht, divided into
(1) Work plan or project with medical and public health objectives. To solve the problem of the 2019 coronavirus disease outbreak in the amount of 45 billion baht, the approved amount of 2.555 billion baht
(2) Work plan or project intended to compensate the public sector, farmers and entrepreneurs, amount 555,000 million baht, approved 365,657 million baht, disbursement of 303,627 million baht.
(3) Work plan or project aimed at restoring the economy and society affected by the coronavirus outbreak in the amount of 400,000 million baht, approved 120,053 million baht, disbursement of 2,671 million baht.
2. The 2020 Expenditure Budget Transfer Law in the amount of 88,452 million baht
3. The Expenditure Budget Act 2021 (Central Budget) amounts to 40 billion baht.
Excluding the 2020 mid-year budget, which the Cabinet approved to solve the problem of the COVID-19 epidemic in the first period of 30,602 million baht, excluding the “We are not left” budget of more than 70,000 million baht. baht (the central budget set 96 billion baht) as
- Cost of materials and equipment for the preparation of masks in The Power of Thais United to Prevent Coronavirus (COVID-19) by allocating as subsidies to local government organizations in the amount of 7,774 places with an amount of 225 million baht.
- Preparation, Prevention and Solution for Emerging Infectious Diseases: Case of Coronary Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the limited phase (Phase 2) of fiscal year 2020, worth 1,233,272,900 baht.
- Spending to help people affected by COVID-19 is 20 billion baht.
- The cost of helping people affected by COVID-19 is 9,002 million baht.
- Compensation includes employees of establishments affected or others affected by the COVID-19 epidemic. To broaden the target group, each eligible person is 5,000 baht for 3 months, from 3 million to 9 million, for 45 billion baht.
Loan program for the self-employed affected by COVID-19 To offset the operating costs of two government banks (GSB and BAAC) of 1.6 billion baht
Expand the number of people eligible for compensation measures, including employees of affected establishments or others affected by the COVID-19 outbreak. Cover affected people from 9 to 14 million people and expand the budget for their use in the project from 45 billion baht to 210 billion baht.
Grants to the National Vaccine Institute Support the national vaccine development network agency in enhancing vaccine production potential so that it is ready to transfer technology for COVID 19 vaccine production and develop national capacity through development of the vaccine from the previous limit of 1000. Million baht
“Right now, there is no need to borrow more, now Sabai still has a lot of money in her pocket. But if the country is closed like England or Europe, it is worrying. The loan-to-GDP ratio is approximately 60%, other countries are already 100. During this time 60, we still have discipline. Extending or not having a meeting will be government policy. If it’s about borrowing to get relief, who’s going to object, that it’s not necessary to amend the law? And preset 60 is just a doll. Foreign countries do not specify 60, some countries 70 80, Japan, 100% already, but they asked what the borrower did, whether the borrower came to provide relief.
While previously “Khun Klang” Archom Termphitthayaphaisit The Minister of Finance, despite the “high card” deadline, measures to give 5,000 baht of “second round” money, may catch up with the COVID-19 epidemic . That ignites, increasing more than you think.
“A new outbreak that emerged Believes that the security department can handle But wanted all parties to help each other to be strict That he thinks there is no need for other measures to complement the existing measures As for money, there is enough loan of 1 trillion baht, there is still a credit limit of 300 billion baht, it will remain valid until the end of September next year (64), ”Archom said in December last year.
Similarly, Supatthanaphong, who before the New Year, responded to the House Economic Reporter before the New Year break that there was no need for additional remedies. The corrective measures of the Ministry of Labor approved by the Cabinet are sufficient.
But when the COVID-19 situation More serious than expected The remedy may be more than eight hundred billion in the first round of three months.
The economic situation of COVID in the second half of the year therefore challenges the efficiency of public management, especially the “crisis of faith” towards the Government of General Prayut. Before people “lose faith” until they achieve political stability
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