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May 2, 2020
71
Covid-19 poisoning orders to cut companies using M 75. The 2.2 billion temporary layoff, affecting 4.4,000 employees, laid off 1.4 billion of 1,055 from the “EIC.” Unemployment is expected to be higher than all crises in the past. Unemployed 7 to 9 million additional people
Department of Labor Protection and Welfare (OFS), Ministry of Labor The report of the layoff situation in fiscal year 2020, between October 1, 2019 and April 26, 2020, found that there are layoffs due to the loss of the baht, epidemics such as Kovit-19 disease, termination of business, technology change / downgrade. Organization size / Reduction in number of employees, orders / products cannot be sold AND employees violate labor regulations, regulations or orders
Among the top 3 laid-off businesses are: 1. Production 2. Wholesale, retail, repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles, personal and household items, and 3. Real estate services Providing business and breakfast services. In the zone Bangkok 284, Samut Sakhon 75, Rayong 63, Khon Kaen 39 and Prachuap Khiri Khan 32 provinces with the 5 highest layoffs, namely 1. Bangkok 3,070 people 2. Samut Sakhon 1,212 people 3. Pathum Thani 1,039 people 4. Khon Kaen 994 people 5. Lamphun 920 people
As a result of this situation, the employee has requested to receive compensation. 14,945 people, almost 4 times more than in 2019 with 3,848 people From the establishment 1,055 locations, doubled since 2019, which are 562 of employee benefits, received 337.76 billion baht andApplicant for unemployment benefits The fiscal year 2020 (October 1 – March 31) of the Social Security Office, as of March, has a total of 11,730,351 insured people, the number of beneficiaries of unemployment benefits 170,144 people, divided into 130,994 resignation, termination of the contract 6,361 people and dismissal of 32,789 people.
- Establishment using75 increase 15 times
Mr. Aphinya Sucharititanunt Director General of the Department of Labor Protection and Welfare Said In the meantimeBusiness establishment using section 75 A total of 2,237 locations (15 times more than 149 in 2019), a total of 4,845 times. 86,903 days, 448,611 employees were affected (7 times more than 63,120 people), divided into Stop some operations 1,088 locations, 2,653 times, 36,349 days.Employees affected 260,290 people and Stop all business 1,348 locations, 2,192 times 50,554 days, 244,015 employees affected
Top 5 provinces that use Section 75 the most These include 328 Bangkok 2. Samut Prakan 313 3. Rayong 312 places 4. Phra Nakhon Si Ayuthaya 205 locations and 5. Pathum Thani 134 locations
While Top 5 provincesThere are affected employees. Namely, Rayong, 80,858 people 2. Samut Prakan 78,038 people 3. Chon Buri 47,402 people 4. Phra Nakhon Siayuthaya 43,227 people and 5. Bangkok 38,583 people
“Now, almost all the companies of concern, especially the manufacturing sector Very affected Including the tourism services sector, hotels, tour operators. Transportation of tourists, restaurants, all linked to tourism. It is expected that after May 3, 2020, They can improve some measures for relaxation, such as food delivery, “said the Director General of Kasetsart University.
- “EIC” pointsUnemployment is higher than any crisis.
Regarding the Center for Economic and Commercial Analysis (EIC), Banco Comercial Siam estimates that the Thai economy is in a state of crisis that has not yet been defined. As a result of the epidemic of a new type of corona corona, or “Covid-19”, which affects almost all companies. With special violence in the tourism sector. The crisis is a risk for the labor market, which has shown signs of weakness since the previous period.
In which the high-risk labor groups are temporary employees Self-employed professionals and employees of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which are considered the majority of people. 62% of the Thai workforce AND is very sensitive to economic conditions.
EIC estimates that the number of unemployed will increase to 3-5 million people, which is considered higher than all past crises in Thailand. This is because the first impact is broader and there is a sudden interruption of many economic activities. While the agricultural sector may not be able to absorb unemployed people from other regions as in the past due to drought
In addition, EIC considers that there will be a large number of workers who, despite unemployment But the number of hours worked and earnings are reduced considerably OR even have no earnings at all times
The recovery in the labor market is expected to be slow. Following the economy that is expected to recover like the Ushev and the result of Covid-19 that will remain as long as there are no medications or vaccines. Risk in the labor market There is still a tendency to affect the quality of life of households that are already fragile as original capital. In which approximately 60% of Thai households do not have enough financial assets to spend more than 3 months.
- The private sector expects unemployment at 7-9 million.
Mr. Klin Sarasin, President of the Thai Chamber of Commerce. He said that the Thai Chamber of Commerce has followed the situation of Covid-19 That affects employment According to the evaluation of the private sector, it is expected that this June, there will be 7.13 million unemployed workers, divided into entertainment businesses, laying off 60,000 people, 2.5 hundreds of thousands of restaurants, spas and massage stores in the system of 3.96 ten thousand people.
Informal spa and massage store 200,000 people, hotels 9.78 million people, shops and retail stores 4.2 million people, real estate businesses 7.76 billion people, textiles 200,000 people and construction businesses
1 million people They will be workers with incomes of less than 20,000 baht per month, approximately 6.773 million people, which represents 95% of the unemployed workers. And if it lasts another 2-3 months, the unemployment figures can increase to 10 million, who are workers. outside and in the social security system.
Currently, the business that has been severely affected will be SMEs if the Covid-19 outbreak occurs. Extended beyond June, this will be extended to affect large companies such as the automotive industry. Electrical and electronic equipment Including large export companies Which will result in higher than expected unemployment numbers
Thanit Sorat, Vice President of the Federation of Employers, Entrepreneurs and Industry of Thailand. He said the crisis in Kovit-19 causing labor problems that are worse than in 1997 and the most serious in decades The private sector estimates that there may be 9.21 million unemployed people out of 38 million Thai workers, divided into 11 million workers from social security and 27 million informal workers, including agriculture, the latest issue of Covid’s impact. -19 Workers of the social security system request unemployment compensation in case of force majeure of up to 1.5 million people.
However, if the Covid-19 disease outbreak last June, the number of unemployed will spread to industrial workers of 6 million people, especially the automobile industry will be severely affected. Because almost all automakers stopped production causing a chain impact on the thousands of auto parts factories with a combined workforce of over 7.5 hundred thousand people, probably giving this industry to 2-3 thousand unemployed people and the Textile electronics industry, clothing will lose hundreds of thousands of people.
“If you can relax and open a mall, it will be a great help to the retailers and restaurants in the mall. It helps absorb unemployed workers and if you gradually open shops like A Hairdresser with 3.6 million workers, between 2 and 300 thousand restaurants plus government aid measures that amount to 5 billion baht per month will take over 400 billion baht to stimulate the economy. Make revolving funds increase in value multiple times and reuse more
