[ad_1]
“Dr. Thira” predicted 8 things after Thailand faced a crisis New wave “COVID-19”
Date: Dec 30, 2020 @ 5:47 pm
Dr. Thira believes that there are almost a thousand cases of infection per day, totaling more than 30,000 people.
On December 30, 2020, Associate Professor Teeraworathanarat, Chulalongkorn University School of Medicine A Facebook post on the COVID-19 situation. Which are spreading in Thailand right now Specifying some text during certain episodes that …
For us in Thailand I think it is time to give us some information and a forecast of the situation so that we can all prepare for what could happen next year. As follows …
First, we have entered a repeat outbreak / second wave / new outbreak / another outbreak … completely.
Two repeated outbreaks that we are going to face are this. Even in the future, all measures will be taken (Including the blockade “if any” after mid-January Mixed with some loosening, some blockages during the course of the outbreak), we will have the highest number of infections per day, reaching approximately 940 a day, or five times more than the first wave, and it seems very clear that the fight against the epidemic is repeating itself. This time we will spend at least 3 months.
Third, the total number of people expected to be infected by this repeat outbreak is estimated. 23,635-33,088 people, of which approximately 3,546-4,964 are severe, and 1,182-1,655 have patients in ICU and / or ventilator, 237-331 deaths with no shortage of personnel / equipment. / And medicine.But if the shortage is as high as 473-662 people
Fourth of this repeated outbreak The situation in Thailand is expected to raise the global ranking around Australia or Finland. Now it seems very difficult to bring the outbreak to the level of Hong Kong.
Five, with the current political decision nature Both in terms of non-directional measures and slower than the situation Including a detection system that is not strong enough to deal with repeated outbreaks. This can be seen in the very limited number of possible exams. In addition, there were problems with insufficient protective equipment. This can be seen in the public donations of various hospitals. What is an outpost of patient care? Anticipates that the health system may have difficulty caring for infected patients. After 6-8 weeks, there will be a shortage of equipment needed to fight. Both due to insufficiency OR forward distribution AND that must be prepared to deal with Risk management for healthcare professionals at all levels AND fatigue That will affect work efficiency Maintenance results AND loss of personnel both due to infection and other causes .
Sixth, it will be difficult to track the broad economic impact. Especially night finders Including small and medium-sized businesses.In addition, it is expected to have a strong impact on previous government programs. Especially about us traveling together which would be difficult to continue during the repeated severe outbreaks. Because if it forces you to continue it will be in a strong crisis due to the three types of outbreaks in Japan
Seven, the health system situation is very unstable. Because along with this Caring for other diseases For people it will be very affected. And affect the patient’s health outcome. Having more difficult access to medical services. Multiple treatments are slower than before. You also need to plan to reduce the risk of an outbreak in the hospital. Both in staff who work directly with patients Support staff Including patients and families Both in outpatient and hospital departments
Eight of the characteristics of the outbreak have been repeated in recent weeks. There is a high probability of a large outbreak in a wide variety of vulnerable groups. Variety of areas Various businesses and activities Due to our social structure and living culture, there are many vulnerabilities that viruses like to attack. Therefore, you have to be so careful in the fresh market. Shopping malls, meritorious events, parties, celebrations, weddings, funerals, attractions Until the New Years countdown tomorrow too
Personally, I deeply understand the reasons AND timing for the Commission’s decision. But this will help reduce the severity of the outbreak. Whether the state decides the final measure for this week or not later than next week.
What people like us can do now is protect themselves from infection. Or pass the infection on to others without knowing it
1. Stay home, stop the infection for the nation again.
2. Always wear a 100% mask when you go out. And issued in moderation.
3. Prepare some supplies around the house.
4. Prepare the necessary medicine.
5. Cut your hair, find a doctor, find a dentist … should be done this week if possible.
6. Work at home if possible.
7. Avoid using public transportation. But if that cannot be avoided, protect yourself completely, put on a mask and use an alcohol gel.
The most important thing is tomorrow. Please. It is not advisable to go to eat celebrating the meal outdoors. You should not go to see the lights, the fireworks or any spinning show. Because if you leave, you have the right to be part of the infected person. Or they transmit the infection to many people. The result will be This outbreak will intensify. It may be beyond what is stated above. That you will see results in mid-January
But if you do not leave the house you can help reduce more or less this outbreak. Benefit both ourselves and society
Happy just for one day … but a long mess
Let’s stay home …
With love to all
Source: https://www.facebook.com/thiraw
[ad_2]
