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Close the prime minister. But it is necessary to hurry to solve the constitution Exit of “Big Tu” when it is drawn
On October 24, 2020 at 5:58 PM
By … Chai Rit Yon Piem
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3-day period requested by the mob General Prayut Chan-o-cha The resignation will correspond to the day and night of Saturday 24. In October, when the Prime Minister did not resign, he believed that one of the ways of the mob was to block the parliament that would begin to meet on Monday, an extraordinary session to seek a way out of the crisis of conflict. Or pressured to block government house again Don’t let Big Tu go to work The mafia situation has passed a week, developing faster than expected as the government rushed to dissolve the Pathumwan assembly. Despite the slight injury on both sides But he expanded the circle to make people angry because they saw that the government attacked the students.
The starburst rally quote on a mobile phone is a new kind and never seen before in Thailand It is a mob without the cutting edge. It is a modern meeting. This creates a huge headache for the government. But when the mob flares up, it can’t be stopped in place. It must be leveled every time. If you leave it for a long time without victory, you can put yourself under pressure and risk violence.
The current situation is very fragile. Because a mass of yellow shirts began to protect the institution. Show power in different provinces. It is a group organized by parliamentarians, government parties, as well as the masses that have come out naturally. Oppose the mafia. Violence has started to develop in some conflict areas.
Back in the last sceneThe pressures of the mafia of the people “Big You” He resigned, but the person declared and there was no way to resign In addition to having good support But if you think that according to the equation of “Big Tu” he makes a big surprise and resigns To dismantle the mafia Mechanism to find the new prime minister As will be?
Everything will return to the conditions of the Constitution. People who qualify for the office of Prime Minister Will be on the list of parties proposed by all parties during the election. People’s Power Party They will run out of opportunities to offer new people immediately because they only nominate “Big You.” The Bhumjaithai Party has the highest probability in this game. Anutin Charnwirakul Does the Prime Minister and the Democratic Party nominate Abhisit Vejjajiva
Regarding the opposition, the Pheu Thai Party proposed 3 names: Khunying Sudarat Keyuraphan Chatchat Sittiphan Y Chaikasemnitsiri Future Forward Party nominates Thanathorn Jungrungruangkit But the party has disbanded. The small party has no more than 25 deputies and has no right to nominate the prime minister.
List all the most likely ones. People from the party of the previous government. Because this constitution is blocked to the NCPO network that electing the prime minister It must have more than half of the members of Parliament, 376 votes. STEP should also support. That is to say, close the Pheu Thai Party. Nominated for Prime Minister The most likely choice is Anutin, leader of the Bhumjaithai Party. Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Public Health But the person already announced that He will ask to be only the Vice President With the name of Prime Minister Gen. Prayut But he did not refuse to become Prime Minister in the event that “Big Tu” had resigned
Many people watch the “Anutin” who will be a competitor of the new prime minister after the elections. There is a tangible contribution to medical marijuana policy. Experience of the Ministry of Public Health that controls COVID until it is recognized by the country. And ties with its elite. In addition to the potential of the Bhumjaithai Party, it is expanding its strong base in many areas of the country.
If “Anutin” becomes prime minister then the mafia will accept or not wait for the pressure to be reduced. But it never completely disappeared because there is still a requirement that the word is to free the leaders and reform the monarchy. “Anutin” itself is a full blue belt, proclaiming the institution above the head. There is no way to accept the demand for institutional reform.
At the same time, if the student leader is released by bail, he creates “Anon-Rung-Penguin-Mike-Bamboo” He will continue to enter the speaking stage Waking up the mob to call for further institutional reform As he used to get bail and bring in the mob. Criticism of the institutional problem, so if “Anutin” becomes Prime Minister, it is true, but does not respond to institutional reform. He will be chased by the mob again, like “Big You”
Another equation if, in the future, the government uses force to dissolve another assembly. There was violence. General Prayut did not resign, he led the way. “National government” Some public groups have called for this model to resolve the crisis, with an external prime minister to run the country for a short period of 1 to 2 years, doing a mission to fix the constitution. Stay until the whole draft is finished Then dissolve the new electoral parliament
According to the constitution specified in section 272, the external prime minister’s guidelines must be approved by parliament with two-thirds of the votes, requiring a large number of senators to vote to support. You can vote for “stranger” Who is not on the list of political parties can become prime minister
However, the proposal of the national government. Despite being picked up every time But this bipolar showdown is heavier than all time and out of date. “intermediary” Let each party believe that Who is fit to become the middle prime minister? Different from the previous crisis It is difficult to happen. In particular, the Progressive Party and the Progressive Party stated that the National Government would not reason that it was a way of conspiring for the elite to take over and believed that the national government would never push for institutional reform. If the Pheu Thai Party, the leader of the opposition, it will also be difficult to join the national government.
It is difficult to change government or Big Tu. But at the political table Big Tu also has several assistants to resolve the situation. In addition to gear 5, speed up, amend the Constitution. As soon as the council opened on November 1 to draft a rule that was fair and that belonged to all people, including not exaggerating the charges against the arrested Mao Khang protesters. But if you choose to move forward to organize a mass to support it, it will only lead to more violent confrontations. That is not good for the country.
Another pointI want to clearly announce the roadmap, when will I be in office? To eliminate the conflict rooted in a six-year coup, using the NCPO mechanism, “Big Tu” is the head of the coup and is the prime minister who has the advantage of his own rules. Parliament to amend the constitution or open a parliament to find a way out Therefore, I cannot fully say that Parliament represents all people. Because it represents a third of the NCPO network of council seats. Using Congress to find a way out It seems there may be a reason. But when advice is still the root mechanism of the problem, the problem persists. If the root cause “Injustice of the Rules” is not resolved, the conflict will expand sharply and will never end. Accelerating constitutional reform with sincerity and without delay is a solution that must be done immediately.
