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In the next few hours Americans will approach the booth to elect the 46th president of the United States, and soon the world will know that who will win the presidential seat between Republican President Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden?
And every time the US president is elected, it is inevitable that the popular vote of the candidates of both parties is scrutinized and analyzed, as did history professor Allan Lichtman. From the American University, where Prof. Lichtman was the only prophet to predict that Donald trump He will win the 2016 election and also predicts that Trump will be removed from office. By Professor Lichtman used “The presidential prediction model”, which he developed since 1980, can accurately predict the outcome of each election. From the victory of Ronald Reagan in 1984 to the triumph of Trump in 2016.
Professor Lichtman called this electoral prediction “13 keys to winning the White House (13 keys to winning the White House)”He used 13 criteria, according to the ruling party. Judge Trump or Biden will take office as next president with “True” as Trump and “False” representing Biden. Professor Lichtman’s prediction is as follows:
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criterion |
Trump (for real) |
Biden (not true) |
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Midterm electoral success |
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There is no competition for presidential candidates in the party. |
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A replacement for the presidency was not sought. |
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No other party ran for the presidency. |
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Strong short-term economic conditions |
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Strong long-term economic conditions |
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Big policy change |
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There were no protests. |
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No scandal |
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There were no mistakes in foreign and military affairs. |
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Achieved in military and foreign service |
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It’s a lovely holding |
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A challenger without charm |
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From the 13 previous criteria, it was found that Trump scored 6 while Biden scored 7. By having Professor Lichtman predict that In the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump will lose and Joe Biden will win the election. And he successfully seized the chair of the 46th US president.
