[ad_1]
America to Vote Tuesday: Where It’s Particularly Scarce and What More You Need to Know
Elections will be held in the United States on the night of November 3-4. On the one hand the president is elected, on the other there are also parliamentary elections. He is elected in all 50 states and due to the complicated American electoral system it is easy to lose track of things. That’s why we have you here The most important points together so you know what’s happening on Election Night:
What states are important?
The president of the United States is not directly elected by the people. Rather, the majority of the population determines which candidate receives the entire electorate in a state. Most states have a “winner takes all” principle. Only in Nebraska and Maine are electoral votes divided.
It depends particularly on the so-called swing states (also known as “battlefield states”). Therefore, the race for the 2020 US presidential election could be decided in these eleven decisive states:
The decisive states for the 2020 presidential election in the United States, shown here in pink on the map. Image: watson
- Texas – 38 electorate
- Florida – 29 voters
- Pennsylvania: 20 electorates
- Ohio – 18 voters
- Georgia – 16 electorate
- Michigan – 16 electorate
- North Carolina – 15 voters
- Arizona – 11 voters
- Minnesota: 10 voters
- Wisconsin – 10 voters
- Nevada – 6 voters
yes more electoral votes in the respective state of transition, the more important they will be in the fight for the presidency.
And all the other states?
The other 39 US states have been sharply divided between the two sides for several decades. If, for example, Idaho (Lyndon B. Johnson was the last time a Democrat won in 1964) suddenly elects democratically, it would be a sensation. By contrast, no California Republican has won a majority since 1988.
Where is the particularly tight race?
In Texas, the race for the electoral vote is likely to be particularly close. Image: keystone
In some of these changing states, the survey results already paint a relatively clear picture. Joe Biden in Michigan is more than 7 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump. In some states, however, the survey result is still open:
- In Texas (38 votes) Donald Trump is ahead with 1.3 percentage points.
- In Florida (29 votes) Biden is ahead with just 2.1 percentage points.
- In Georgia (16 votes) Biden is currently 1.6 percentage points ahead.
- In North Carolina (15 votes) So far, Biden has been able to hold his own with a margin of 2.2 percentage points.
- In Arizona (11 votes) Biden is also just 2.7 percentage points behind Trump.
If Joe Biden Texas won, Donald Trump would be threateningly close to being eliminated. Here Jimmy Carter was able to win the Democratic electoral vote for the last time in 1976.
When do we have the final result?
In the 2000 presidential election between George W. Bush and Al Gore, the outcome was not clear until several weeks after the election. Bild: AP / AP
It is always difficult to predict when the end result will be clear. We look back:
- 2016 Stand Donald Trump at 8:32 am Swiss time as the next president of the United States.
- 2012 already became the victory of Barack Obama at 5:19 am proclaimed.
- 2008 surrounded by CNN 5:06 am The election of Obama as the first known African American president.
- 2004 The announcement of the winner was prolonged At 5 pm. down. At that point, challenger John Kerry gave up and the final result was only known a few days later.
- 2000 was the end result in the race between George W. Bush and Al Gore first December 12th approved. So more than a month after election night.
So if the race is coming up, the announcement of the winner could take several weeks, with counts. If the result is reasonably clear, it should be over time Wednesday morning.
What else will be important on November 3?
As already stated, not only will presidential elections be held, but also parliamentary elections in the United States on Tuesday. This is a Third of the Senate and the entire newly elected House of Representatives.
These elections will have a major impact on American law for years to come. By the time Republicans have a majority in the Senate, Democrats were able to take a majority in the House of Representatives in the midterm elections.
Where does it get interesting in the Senate elections?
Both the Senate and the House meet in the United States Congress. Image: keystone
According to forecasts and polls, the race between Republicans and Democrats for a Senate seat in seven states will be closed. This includes:
- Georgia (2 seats)
- South Carolina (1 seat)
- North Carolina (1 seat)
- Maine (1 seat)
- Iowa (1 seat)
- Montana (1 seat)
Also, according to the latest “Cook Political Report,” only one Democratic seat is threatened: Alabama. Democratic rivals could even oust Republican rulers in two states: Arizona and Colorado.
What do I need to know about the House of Representatives elections?
Nancy Pelosi is the Speaker of the House of Representatives and presides over it. Image: keystone
Things are also looking bad for Republicans in the House of Representatives. Here they are already in the minority and this situation could get worse after the elections.
According to the same report, it is highly likely that two Republican seats so far (both in North Carolina) are for Democrats. Two other seats previously held by Republicans (one in Texas and one in Georgia) are also at risk from Democratic competitors, according to polls.
Overall, the polls for 26 seats are so narrow that no trends can be identified. Sixteen of them were previously claimed by Republicans, nine by Democrats, and one seat was held by an independent candidate. Here, too, there are more Republican representatives at risk of re-election than Democrats. Things are getting tough in these states:
- Arizona (1 seat)
- California (2 seats)
- Iowa (2 seats)
- Illinois (1 seat)
- Indiana (1 seat)
- Michigan (1 seat)
- Minnesota (2 seats)
- Missouri (1 seat)
- Nebraska (1 seat)
- New Jersey (1 Sitz)
- New Mexico (1 seat)
- New York (4 seats)
- Ohio (1 seat)
- Oklahoma (1 seat)
- Pennsylvania (1 seat)
- Texas (3 seats)
- Utah (1 seat)
- Virginia (1 seat)
(Lion)
