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A polenta trench runs through Switzerland. Because while French-speaking Switzerland clearly rejects the SVP’s Limitation Initiative (BGI) and German-speaking Switzerland also voted no three weeks before the September 27 vote, Italian Switzerland could accept the proposal that leads to the termination of the free movement of people, just by agreement.
Free movement of people is maintained
The bottom line is that voters give a clear rejection of the resignation initiative: 63 percent of GfS Bern’s poll on behalf of the SRG are against the bill. Only 35 percent of those who voted wanted to say no in the second wave of SRG’s trend survey.
BGI’s career is over. The most important filing on September 27, 2020 was only approved by SVP voters. Supporters of all other parties reject the dismissal initiative. Outside of the SVP, according to the survey, the initiative only has the approval of those who are not part of any party.
Daddy can stay home, planes can take off
Paternity leave is also heading towards a clear result: In the GfS poll, 61 percent of participants said they supported the proposal. 35 percent are against the two-week paper time. Paternity leave has ended, because lead should no longer be recoverable.
The purchase of new combat aircraft also has good possibilities. 56 percent of respondents are in favor of hiring. 40 percent are against it. The poll now shows a much stronger yes than in early August.
With fighter jets, however, a Röstigraben is emerging. French-speaking Switzerland could speak out against the purchase and Ticino is also more critical than German-speaking Switzerland. Women and children are also skeptical. The upside comes from the many older voters who have little doubt about the acquisition proposal and want to go to the polls in large numbers.
The wolf should go on living
It gets exciting with the hunting law. Because suddenly a relative majority is against the “shooting law”. According to the current GfS poll, 48 percent of those who vote want to reject the revision of the law. 46 percent said they would agree. The negative side grew 12 percentage points in the last month, while the negative side lost 8 percentage points.
According to the GfS, a no at the ballot box would confirm that the demands of animal welfare groups are more popular today than in the past. I would also underline that Greens and Green Liberals and their concerns are more important now than in recent years.
Unsurprisingly, the hunting law drives a wedge between the city and the Swiss countryside. The more urban a voter’s region of origin, the more criticism of the hunting law.
If the wolf opponent fails to convince many more people in the last minute that the predator should go for the neck, he will no longer be able to turn the wheel.
Tax donation for the rich threatens to fail
And the mood has also changed with the tax credit for families. 52 percent of respondents reject tax deductions. Three weeks before the vote, only 43 percent were in favor of parents receiving tax breaks for their children, regardless of whether they have outside child care costs or not.
In German-speaking Switzerland in particular, voters are now against the bill, but skepticism is growing in Latin-speaking Switzerland as well. The idea that families would benefit better from lower health insurance premiums is popular according to GfS. A high-income tax donation in times of empty coffers stands out for many in the picture.
The race is still open here, but the opponents have a tailwind.