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Once again, it was a “SVP against all” fight: with the so-called limitation initiative, the largest party in Switzerland took on all the other parties and the main business associations, and clearly failed. Because the SVP failed to get the middle class to approve the initiative. This is demonstrated by the follow-up analysis carried out by the research institute GFS Bern on behalf of the SRG.
Supporters of the SVP voted virtually unanimously on the initiative. Supporters of the other parties are clearly against it. The fact that the SVP achieved a yes with its initiative higher than its percentage of votes can be explained by the votes of the side of those people who do not feel they belong to any party.
It is also noted that women voted slightly above average against the initiative, while the rejection of men was slightly below average. However, the difference between the sexes was not decisive.
On the day of the vote, several exponents of the SVP had declared the poor performance with the corona pandemic. The population is restless due to the economic situation, said the president of the SVP, Marco Chiesa. Follow-up analysis does not support this view. 89 percent of those surveyed say the crisis in the crown has not influenced their opinion. Among those who changed their opinion, the majority who went to the field of yes predominates.
SRF
In terms of content, the argument that accepting the initiative would end the bilateral route, with no alternative in sight, was decisive. From this point of view, the impending economic crisis may well have had an impact.
Positive attitude towards bilaterals
Voters hardly listened to the SVP’s argument that termination of the bilateral agreements would not pose a problem for Switzerland. The electorate has a positive attitude towards bilaterals. The downsides outweigh the downsides for only 14 percent of respondents. For 61 percent, advantages predominate.
Even before the outcome of Sunday’s vote was certain, exponents from various parties brought the framework agreement with the EU to discussion. If this agreement were voted on, more voters would be in favor than against. However, the pro side also did not achieve an absolute majority. Compared to a similar poll conducted in the spring, some uncertainty appears to have emerged in the field of yes. Therefore, the discussion on the framework agreement has yet to be decided, and is likely to be fierce in the coming weeks.
