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Donald Trump does not recognize the election. And so it prevents Joe Biden from getting used to it. How much longer can Trump do this? There is evidence of this, and even a date.
In the 1990s sitcom “Groundhog Day,” Bill Murray plays a host of the self-centered climate that experiences the same day over and over again. At 6 o’clock “I Got You Babe” rings on the radio alarm clock and it all starts over for him, his seemingly pointless work repeating and repeating itself.
There is a switchboard in the White House that usually wakes up the presidents of their dreams with a wake-up call. Donald Trump doesn’t have to report every day if the groundhog Punxsutawney Phil predicts a quick start to spring. But the days of Trump have become increasingly similar since Joe Biden won the election.
Trump gets up, Trump goes golfing or does some work, but mostly Trump is furious on Twitter against the allegedly stolen election. How long do you want to keep doing this?
“He won because …”
Donald Trump knows he is lost. Observers and many anonymously cited employees now largely agree. Trump also recently let it go publicly, albeit inadvertently.
On Friday, when Trump held his only press conference to date following the defeat over a corona vaccine progress, it was almost gossip. There will be no blockade with his government, he said and then stammered: “Hopefully he, uh, whatever happens in the future, who knows what government it will be, time will tell …”
On Sunday, Trump wrote on Twitter: “He won because the election was rigged.” When the first breaking news of the admission of defeat was sent, Trump obviously realized what he had done and sent several tweets afterwards. “I don’t admit anything at all!”
Deposition Movements Among Republicans
It fits with what the US media is reporting on Trump’s confidants in those unprecedented days in Washington. Trump’s grand strategy to actually prevent Biden from taking office simply doesn’t exist. Trump only seems to be looking to see how far he can go and how long Republicans will support him.
And exactly that could help estimate how long Trump may completely refuse to initiate the Biden handover. Right now, any Republican who cautiously distances himself from Trump on the issue will remain in the headlines. That alone shows that there are still very, very few left. But there are these headlines.
And even influential Republicans and Trump lovers like Lindsey Graham recently formulated when they would accept Biden as president-elect: if Trump admits defeat, or if lawsuits have failed in court and the states have certified election results.
It will likely take Trump a long time to admit defeat without claiming that the presidency has been stolen from him. However, there are data on the demands and the results.
December 8 could be decisive
By December 8, all litigation and state counts must be completed. It is the deadline for the so-called “safe harbor”. All states usually certify their election results at the latest, that is, confirm them so that voters can elect the president on December 14. Usually a mere formality that could be important this year.
Most observers assume that Trump’s legal team around Rudy Giuliani has little chance of finding so much evidence of widespread electoral fraud as to make the outcome one of the disputed states. But if there were still legal disputes on December 8, it could still get messy.
If so, the parliament, which is dominated by Republicans in most of the disputed states, could simply establish its own constituents, arguing that there is no legitimate outcome. In these states, this task actually falls to governments, and in states primarily involved with Democrats.
The scenario is even discussed that the government and parliament simply nominate both electors because of the whole dispute, that is, there are two different groups from the same state. Electors of Trump and electors of Biden. Either way, the United States Congress or even the courts would have to decide in the end.
Practically impossible
It is a highly unlikely scenario. And even if Biden voters became Trump voters in one of the disputed states, that would not be enough for Trump. Joe Biden won the election with 306-232 voters. To turn that around, Trump needs such an unlikely scenario in an unlikely number of states.
It is practically impossible.
Joe Biden with economic advisers: The newly elected president does not want to be deterred by the Trump blockade, and yet he suffers. (Source: Kevin Lamarque / Reuters)
So for many Republicans and also for Trump, by December 8 at the latest, it will be more difficult to completely refuse to hand over office. Because that’s what it’s all about right now: the so-called “transition” from Trump to Biden. In any case, Biden will not be officially introduced to the position until January 20.
But so far, as president-elect, Biden, unlike usual, no access to government information, offices and moneyto which you are entitled for this induction phase. For days, Biden was stressed and relaxed about this matter and said he didn’t want to complain about it. But on Monday his tone became clearer. “If we don’t coordinate, more people could die,” he said, referring to the rapid increase in corona numbers in the US.
The refined climate moderator
Biden should still have to wait a bit. Until the demands get too desperate. Or until December 8. Trump is in no rush. He is very busy collecting donations for his legal dispute against the election, with which he also settles campaign debts, as you can see in the fine print.
At the same time, he successfully throws himself into the pose of a resistance fighter for his followers. Over the weekend, tens of thousands marched through Washington for him. In the next presidential election in 2024, Trump might be able to use her again as a voter. Or even beforehand as a viewer of a Trump television station.
Much seems possible. But, sooner or later, Trump will have to snap out of his personal time lag of the same days with angry election tweets. In the comedy “Groundhog Day,” this happens when the self-centered weather host has grown into a better person over time.
But that is also Hollywood.
