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Christian Constantin is unlikely to like what he sees: Valais currently has 897 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days; this is the highest value in Switzerland. Image: keystone
These 8 points show the current situation in Switzerland during the crown crisis
In recent days, new corona infections in Switzerland have pointed upward. Hospitalizations are also increasing, albeit at a low level. To illustrate the situation in more detail, we take a look at several statistics related to the coronavirus in Switzerland.
Number of cases, volume of tests, positivity rate, hospitalizations, deaths: there are some statistics that together give a picture of the Corona crisis. Stefan Kuster, head of the Department of Communicable Diseases at the Federal Office of Public Health (BAG), recently stated again that it is not worth comparing the number of cases with March / April because there was much less evidence at that time.
What has attracted attention in recent days is that the 60 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants once defined by the BAG as the limit of risk areas in the last 14 days are increasingly becoming a joke. Valais has 897 cases, St. Gallen – about the Swiss average – 363 cases and the least affected canton, Schaffhausen, 143 cases (see point 7). Which is still more than double the STOCK limit of 60.
Therefore, we are looking at eight different factors that can give a more holistic picture of the current situation in Switzerland.
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Case numbers
Practically since the climate change and colder temperatures, the number of cases has increased considerably. Today, with 5,256 cases, the FOPH reported more than 5,000 new infections in 24 hours for the second time in a row.
New daily infections
Hospitalization
Much more important to the current situation than the number of cases are the people in hospitals with Covid-19. We are still a long way from the March / April peak. Cases have increased significantly recently and should continue to do so in the coming days. Because experience has shown that it can take up to four weeks from the new infection to hospital admission.
That is why GDK president Lukas Engelberger advised at Thursday’s press conference: “Hospitals should have their intensive care units ready and should postpone operations that are not necessary.”
Number of hospitalizations
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Intensive care unit
Severe cases are then sent to the intensive care unit. The same applies here: there are still enough free beds today, but the trend is up. And as Lukas Engelberger said at the press conference: Hospitals have to have their intensive care units ready. Let’s first look at the development of Covid 19 patients in the intensive care unit:
Number of new cases in the intensive care unit
In the following graph we take all patients in intensive care units in Switzerland, including those who did not have to be transferred there with Covid-19.
Places could be expanded to 1,600 beds in the tough phase. At least within this framework, it should be possible again, if necessary. It is also noticeable: during the confinement, other cases in the intensive care unit decreased. On the one hand, the lower volume of traffic caused fewer accidents, on the other hand, organ transplants were postponed, for example. Lukas Engelberger also asked hospitals on Thursday to postpone non-urgent operations.
Occupation of intensive care units in Switzerland
While the situation in Switzerland is not yet critical, some cantons are already reaching their limits with intensive care units. Here’s the situation from Wednesday night:
Situation of intensive care units by canton
This is how it looks in hospitals in detail:
Age distribution
The age distribution is also decisive for hospital admissions. In week 42 (through Oct. 18), those over 60 accounted for about 28 percent of all new infections. In hospitals, however, 70 percent of Covid 19 patients (since the beginning of the pandemic) belong to this age group.
As the chart of those who tested positive for age shows, the number of oldest semesters, and therefore the top risk group, increased from about 20 to nearly 30 percent in the past four weeks.
The age distribution in the weekly average
Deceased
The same applies to deaths as to hospitalizations: they are only late. Fortunately, we are currently far from the situation in March / April.
Number of daily deaths
Tests and positivity rate
As mentioned at the beginning, Stefan Kuster from BAG explained that the case numbers cannot be compared to those of the spring. The number of tests shows why: compared to then, more than twice as many tests are performed, and the trend is increasing.
However, what is worrying is the positivity rate. The WHO affirmed that from 5% the number of unreported cases increases and very few are analyzed. We are at almost 20% right now.
Number of tests and positivity rate
Situation in the cantons
A look at the cantons shows that there is currently no division between urban and rural areas. In the last 14 days, the cantons of Valais, Appenzell Innerrhoden, Jura and Geneva were the most affected per 100,000 inhabitants. If so, people are now more likely to be infected in rural areas than in more densely populated areas.
Cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days
It is striking here: Schaffhausen, the least affected canton, has 144 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days. This is more than double what the BAG defines as the limit value for risk countries (60).
Numbers around the cases in the cantons
quarantine
Cantonal contact tracing continues to try to keep up with the increasing number of new infections. Even if this becomes increasingly difficult.
Unsurprisingly, the number of people in isolation has also increased enormously in recent days and is at an absolute peak.
Number of people in isolation in an average of 7 days
People in quarantine, who of course also have to stay home in contact with those who have tested positive, develop in a similar way.
Number of contacts of people in contact tracking quarantine in an average of 7 days
The situation is different with those who return from risk areas. The autumn holidays are over and due to the worsening situation in Europe, many people may have lost the desire to travel abroad.
People in quarantine after returning from the country of risk in an average of 7 days
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